tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post112113559422880251..comments2024-03-05T05:38:22.024-05:00Comments on Left at the Gate: Lava ManAlan Mannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12570505944559196118noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post-1121187659098313552005-07-12T13:00:00.000-04:002005-07-12T13:00:00.000-04:00Dave,I watch the win pools in relation to the show...Dave,<BR/><BR/>I watch the win pools in relation to the show pools. It's an angle I picked up from Tom Ainslie years ago - the theory is that the public bets horses to show in roughly the same proportion as to win, so if you see a horse getting bet disproportionately in the win pool compared to its show money, it indicates that it's the so-called "smart" money betting the horse "on the nose." So I'll take note of this, depending on the kind of race (I pay more attention in maiden and 2 yo races, or a turf race with horses trying the grass for the first time, or horses coming off a layoff, etc.,), and the trainer. I also look at the pp lines - sometimes a horse always seems to get overbet so I'd tend to disregard the action in those cases. I've found this to be a consistent way to identify "live" horses.<BR/><BR/>Thanks for reading!Alan Mannhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12570505944559196118noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post-1121173271231946982005-07-12T09:01:00.000-04:002005-07-12T09:01:00.000-04:00Hi,I've got a basic question.The day before you wr...Hi,<BR/><BR/>I've got a basic question.<BR/><BR/>The day before you wrote "The top three betting choices in this race were first-timers, but one of them was being bet the way I like to see, on the nose in the win pool." I imagine you are watching the win pool for each horse and comparing them. And if you see an larger disparity on one horse you take note?<BR/><BR/>Thanks,<BR/><BR/>DaveAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com