tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post4755097687763074871..comments2024-03-05T05:38:22.024-05:00Comments on Left at the Gate: Belmont NotesAlan Mannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12570505944559196118noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post-44591629286704700792011-06-11T02:10:43.908-04:002011-06-11T02:10:43.908-04:00Shackleford has a chance to go off at 10-1 or high...Shackleford has a chance to go off at 10-1 or higher based on the will-pays.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post-62345099030779189042011-06-10T18:49:05.848-04:002011-06-10T18:49:05.848-04:00Start spreading the news
Animal Kingdom will be t...Start spreading the news<br /><br />Animal Kingdom will be there. Box him high and low.<br /><br />It's up to you - new york new yorkAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post-51895071494625135082011-06-10T12:03:08.191-04:002011-06-10T12:03:08.191-04:00I disagre with Anon--I think Shackleford will be t...I disagre with Anon--I think Shackleford will be the fourth choice behind Animal Kingdom, Nehro and Master of Hounds. MOH is getting enough hype and chatter that my guess is he'll be 5-1.<br /><br />As for the pace, bear in mind that Ruler on Ice adds blinkers; I expect him to be close to the front too.<br /><br />I like AK, Santiva and Monzon as a bomb to fill out triples.El Angelohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14145024095815950963noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post-45276315401492053422011-06-10T09:23:48.795-04:002011-06-10T09:23:48.795-04:00While true that Shack is the lone true speed horse...While true that Shack is the lone true speed horse, I believe the jockeys, most of whom (Nakatani excepted) looked like fools in the Derby backing off a dawdling pace, may over compensate here and will be forwardly placed and aggressive on the backstretch.<br /><br />No speed duel but doubt Shack will be allowed to get away to an open length lead in say 115, which is what he will need to last 12f.<br /><br />Some of the best races run by Stay Thirsty, Santiva, Prime Cut, Mucho MM, and Isnt He Perfect have been on or near the lead, and if you watch the Dubai Derby you will see that Master of Hounds can be near the front also and has mostly been a close up stalker in his overseas races. I expect him to be aggressively ridden here.<br /><br />Shack's roll has changed since the Derby, he is now a target, not an after thought and they will shoot for him early.<br /><br />The two horses that were inexplicably rated into submission on Derby Day, Master of Hounds and Santiva, will be my keys.<br /><br />Mucho has a legit excuse in the Preakness (lost shoe) and was also rated like the above two in the Derby, but I still cant get past his sprint pedigree.<br /><br />Jury reamains out on Animal Kingdom, might be special, might be Mine That Bird, at 2-1 I will play against and hope for the latter.<br /><br />Shack will fail to get the 12f, wont play him at any odds.<br /><br />Nehro is logical and must include despite getting a perfect trip in Derby and still being blown away by AK in the stretch. Extra rest gives him advantage in the rematch.<br /><br />Nehro, Santiva, Master of Hounds.Figlessnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post-59066633529458013102011-06-10T09:08:00.517-04:002011-06-10T09:08:00.517-04:00Despite Donovan's ML, I think Shackleford will...Despite Donovan's ML, I think Shackleford will be second choice. He did win the Preakness after all. He has the name recognition and recency over Nehro, which matters some on days when plenty of money will come in from those who don't follow the game closely. Frankly, I think everyone expected Nehro to be the wiseguy horse, but in fact he seems to be flying a bit under the radar (Master of Hounds, in contrast, as you point out, seems to be generating alot of discussion). I won't be too surprised to see Nehro win and I think I'll be backing him.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com