tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post6998686480409794934..comments2024-03-05T05:38:22.024-05:00Comments on Left at the Gate: Not Ruling Out PletcherAlan Mannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12570505944559196118noreply@blogger.comBlogger12125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post-77729823569451696662010-04-28T02:24:22.788-04:002010-04-28T02:24:22.788-04:00"I'm starting to think that the conventio..."I'm starting to think that the conventional wisdom is wrong and that we won't see the pace meltdown everyone Is expecting." - GW<br /><br />That same thought occurred to me the other day. There seems like a lot of need-the-lead types, or at least horses who have only really been successful running that way to this point, in this race. I could see the jockeys outsmarting themselves and letting someone steal this thing on the front end a la War Emblem.<br />Can't say I'm very excited about the race. Mediocrity is boring. I just hope that whoever wins runs fast and looks really good doing it. That will make the rest of the series a little more interesting. But to me, this is probably the worst looking Derby field in a while. And it's not like the fields of the last couple of years were exactly awe-inspiring.BobFnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post-90787729374288967472010-04-27T22:01:09.600-04:002010-04-27T22:01:09.600-04:00I heard a rumor the Toddster and Zayat scratched E...I heard a rumor the Toddster and Zayat scratched Esky after watching Lucky work.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post-49220326696392835332010-04-27T21:32:39.390-04:002010-04-27T21:32:39.390-04:00I've heard very little about the single most i...I've heard very little about the single most important piece of Ice Box's FLA Derby, namely, he didn't switch leads. Breaking from a brutal post at GP for 1 1/8, closing on a speed favoring surface (yes, yes, I know the fractions were hot), and circling the field to win wihtout changing leads is pretty impressive. I'm by no means endorsing the colt to win, but with the expected fast pace in the Derby, how many other legit closers are in this field?McCarronnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post-25603465658475536212010-04-27T16:20:08.472-04:002010-04-27T16:20:08.472-04:00Just heard they're calling for a 50% chance of...Just heard they're calling for a 50% chance of thunderstorms on Derby Day. Hopefully that'll change...DiscreetPicksnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post-2486967570092199812010-04-27T15:24:18.188-04:002010-04-27T15:24:18.188-04:00Didn't Pioneerof the Nile pretty much fit that...Didn't Pioneerof the Nile pretty much fit that description last year?DiscreetPicksnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post-40396694948466971372010-04-27T12:33:40.122-04:002010-04-27T12:33:40.122-04:00Totally agree with Alan on the chances of Ice Box....Totally agree with Alan on the chances of Ice Box. The pace totally fell apart in the Fla. Derby... He will be overbet. <br />I'm starting to think that the conventional wisdom is wrong and that we won't see the pace meltdown everyone Is expecting. And now with Rule out, that is one less frontrunner to deal with...Starting to get the Feeling that Sidneys Candy can work out a great stalking trip just off the lead and get first jump around the turn...With only synthetic races to go off of, sidney's candy could finish aywhere from first to last in this baby though I guess ? Sadler does win everyhing lately though and it doesn't hurt to have him in your corner... And speaking of Lookin at Lucky, can anyone think of another derby favorite that didn't have even a single 100 beyer figure on his pp's ?<br />This is a slow group figure wise but even 4 to 1 on LAL is insane !<br />GWAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post-75200463231456857452010-04-27T11:21:22.563-04:002010-04-27T11:21:22.563-04:00Good luck, guys. I agree he'll be a big price...Good luck, guys. I agree he'll be a big price and I try not to talk people off big prices, since it's so easy to do. The horse is still a toss for me, but maybe he can grind it out for a piece and screw up my triple. -jpAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post-48555493274164388952010-04-27T10:50:05.025-04:002010-04-27T10:50:05.025-04:00Put it this way: at 40-1, I've heard worse ide...Put it this way: at 40-1, I've heard worse ideas for exotics.El Angelohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14145024095815950963noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post-90567990338846700592010-04-27T10:07:08.278-04:002010-04-27T10:07:08.278-04:00>>He's a gutsy, hard trying horse who wi...>>He's a gutsy, hard trying horse who will give you his all every time<br /><br />Sounds like Giacomo and Mine That Bird.alannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post-45012176494751005092010-04-27T10:05:26.933-04:002010-04-27T10:05:26.933-04:00Jackson Bend has no chance. He's not a router...Jackson Bend has no chance. He's not a router. He's a gutsy, hard trying horse who will give you his all every time, but this is oh so the wrong spot for him. TOSS! -jpAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post-43133000835449719442010-04-27T09:58:16.882-04:002010-04-27T09:58:16.882-04:00I agree with the previous commenter--I think every...I agree with the previous commenter--I think everyone's focusing on the wrong Zito horse.El Angelohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14145024095815950963noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8711985.post-62032811931047228172010-04-27T09:02:42.448-04:002010-04-27T09:02:42.448-04:00Well, looks like Backtalk is in.
The first really ...Well, looks like Backtalk is in.<br />The first really talented offspring of Smarty Jones.<br />His jockey, Mena, got the horse into traffic trouble a couple of time in a five-horse field so I am not expecting a stellar ride in a 20-horse field..<br />I do not think Backtalk (or any Smarty I have seen so far) can handle the distance.<br />I like the two colts who have shown real competitive spirit -- Lucky and Jackson Bend (a small horse who might slip through like Mine That Bird did last year)onecalicocatnoreply@blogger.com