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Wednesday, October 12, 2011

Keeneland Wednesday

In the 4th at Keeneland, Harborplace (5-1) has improved in his last two races, from some already decent form, since the addition of blinkers, and a jockey change to Greta Kuntzweiler, for trainer Albert Stall, off to a 6-2-1-1 start at the meet. He takes a drop in claiming price from 30K to 20K, and I'm not concerned about the fact that he's moving into open claimers from NW3 lifetime, since this entire field would also be eligible for that condition restriction. Nicely handled a jump in class in that last effort, suffering a narrow loss on the Poly at Turfway to Z Appeal, who I think could very well contend for favoritism in this race. Son of Dixieland Band has performed well on various surfaces and with various running styles; and the fact that his two wins have come on turf bodes well for his Keeneland Poly debut. Extra distance main concern, but seems good value at his morning line. Golden Causeway (3-1) had a good effort in allowance company on this course in the spring, has faced better and seems the one to beat for Graham Motion, off to a great start at the meet at 10-3-1-2. Good luck and have a great day!


Steven said...

I hope you boxed it. Nice run, but the favorite was just better. Good analysis though

alan said...

Thanks Steven. Yes, had it boxed, did something right!

Johnnie said...

It seemed like it would never happen, but I actually won some money thanks to your handicapping!

Try and keep up the good work.

Johnnie said...

10 year ban for Dutrow.