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Tuesday, March 15, 2011

Gulfstream Wednesday

Rain expected here in the Big Apple, so let's venture down to the sunny climes of South Florida. In the 8th at Gulfstream on Wednesday, Lago Mar Lady (6-1) stretches out to a mile on the grass for trainer Eddie Kenneally, heating up after a cold spell with a record of 1-2-1 with his last five starters. Three-year old daughter of Medaglia D'Oro made her first grass start a winning one two races back. She was the 2-1 favorite, at the same five furlong distance, in her first start against winners and disappointed her backers with a 4th place finish here last month. However, she chased a very speedy filly in Rosa Salvaje; winner Holiday for Kitten is graded stakes-placed on turf for the seemingly always red-hot Wesley Ward, and third place finisher Caribbean Lady won her next race out in the same class.

Based on pedigree, the stretch out in distance could absolutely be just what Lago Mar Lady wants. A half-sister to Prince Eddington, stakes placed on turf at this distance, this filly is out of a Seattle Slew mare who's a half-sister to the multiple graded stakes winner Behrens and to the dam of Cowboy Cal, a graded stakes winner routing on turf and dirt. This is also the distaff family of Lemonette, a grassy stakes winner at a mile and a half, and the popular two-time Whitney winner Commentator. Superb Tomlinson and dosage numbers for the distance and a nice draw inside; I do really like this filly's chances at the distance here.

Subpoena (12-1) returns off a layoff for Michael Matz. Daughter of Afleet Alex, also a maiden winner in her grass debut, was last seen subsequently rallying from far back for 4th in an overnight stakes at Belmont last fall behind Excited, third the other day in the G3 Herecomesthebride, and Ruthenia, two-for-two lifetime for Clement and not seen since that day. Good value at her morning line. House horse Smart Sting (3-1) was a well-bet winner debuting on the lawn at Woodbine last October and thus figures to take money here for Roger Attfield, 28% with 180+ layoff horses over the last two years. Best of luck and have a great day.


Anonymous said...

Well, at least you hit the exacta if you fortunate enough to leave out your first choice.

alan said...

Yeah, had a little saver, fair price.

Oh well, it read well anyway. :-+

Alan Mann said...

half mile in 45 and change was not exactly what i had in mind!