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Saturday, July 06, 2013

Belmont Quick Pick

Hope everyone is having a great holiday weekend.  We are actually still down at my mom's house in Florida, where the weather has been erratic, at best.  But hey, what does one expect here this time of year?

Anyway, let's try a quick pick at Belmont.  My last two tries here have run well while encountering traffic issues, but they were surely live and that's the best one can hope for so we'll keep plugging away.  In the 7th, He's So Chic (7-2) goes first off the claim for trainer Bruce Levine, proficient in that category (but claiming from the high percentage Jamie Ness barn).  Nine-year old son of Jump Start still knows how to find the winner's circle.  Ran into some tough luck in his last; got left at the gate, made a big wide move on the sweeping Belmont turn and understandably hung a bit late at seven furlongs.  Though he won two back at a mile, I think that this six furlong distance his is best; 12 of his 15 career wins have come at that distance (from 30 starts).  He was compromised by slow paces up front in his last two tries at the distance; my pace projector says that won't be the case today with inside speed from Real Estate and the returning (with sharp workouts) Western Prospector.  Also like the 70 days off since his last race; perusing through his pp's shows good efforts with similar time away.  Castellano jumps on, and he has a win on the horse last fall.  Make a Fortune (3-1) is the first-time Jacobson and surely has the back figs to take this one.  Our excuse for trying to beat this barn this time is that it's his first try and Belmont, and he's never won on a fast dirt track.  Best of luck and have a great day.


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