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Friday, January 02, 2009

Aqueduct Notes

- It was a slow fall at the Big A for trainer Anthony Dutrow, with just three wins on the main track. He's already doubled that total, from 17 starters, on the inner track, including two on New Year's Eve (in addition to Serious Fever, a close runner-up to stablemate Leo), and has three winners and four seconds in his last eight starters here.

On Friday, A. Dutrow starts Jenay Benay, the 3-1 morning line favorite (coupled with Irish Mama) in the 5th. She's a now three-year old daughter of Smoke Glacken dropping from 25K to 20K off a win in her second start for the barn. This would have been an automatic throwout for me in the past. But changes in the game bring changes in even the most fundamental handicapping principles; horses coming off layoffs being another example. These days, 20K claimers in New York carry $30,000 purses. They paid 25K for Jenay Benay, and earned $19,800 for winning her last. So, if she were to win today (for an $18,000 prize) and get claimed, the gross total would be $57,800, not bad a return for an investment of less than two months. Makes it hard to try and figure out exactly what the trainer's intentions are.

Eight winners now for Asmussen from 16 starters; first-time starter Winning Grievance took Thursday's 4th, and though the bettors bit ($4.40), no rivals did at the $25K claiming price.

Trainer Greg DiPrima took the 5th with True Rebel ($5.90). Like his winner Kamboo Man the other day, here's another horse taking a drop in class which should have raised some eyebrows. After all, he romped for 15K when DiPrima claimed him two back, and ran pretty fine when a wide and even 4th for 25K last time out. Like Kamboo Man, this horse went unclaimed. See Ya Sister closed for third at 53-1; another Finger Lakes shipper outrunning its odds.

Daddy's B.E.T ($44.40) led a parade of longshots in the 9th; the triple paid $14,352. Trainer Daniel Conway scored with Zip of Fools ($16.80) last weekend, and has two winners from four starters. He's a Finger Lakes-based trainer with a solid 18% win percentage in 2008....though this particular horse was three races removed from that track.

11 Comments:

steve in nc said...

Speaking of drops, whatcha thinka Victorious Dream in the 2nd. Eye opening speed first out and now gets her first chance off a layoff, first-time D. Jacobson.

She's inside speed, and winds are SW today so speed may do better with the gale at its back than it did yesterday with winds W or NW.

No longshot, I know, but not the chalk either.

alan said...

Off for 3 1/2 months off the claim and back at a significantly reduced tag.....so you gotta figure that everything ain't rosy here. Couldn't even make back the claim price if he wins and gets taken.

Anonymous said...

From the "Change You Can Count On" department.

The track crew at Santa Anita Park was power harrowing and running tests on the synthetic Pro-Ride surface on Tuesday following the breakdown of four horses over the meeting’s first four days.

Two of the four horses were euthanized while the other two were to undergo surgery.

steve in nc said...

Jacobson just won off a 6 week layoff and big drop off the claim in R1.

By the way, why is AQ now on HRTV instead of TVG? I have Dish Net and get both, but what's the deal?

alan said...

Re: TVG/NYRA - Some kind of red tape regarding the State Racing and Wagering Board that is supposed to get cleared up. Wonder why it doesn't affect HRTV?

alan said...

How about that, the Jacobson drop down double??

steve in nc said...

I'll take it (not the DD, but I am alive in tthe P3, singled to the 2). But race 2 ran just as I imagined and bet it. Every once in a while, even a dude with slightly outdated progressive bifocals...

Glimmerglass said...

TVG and NYRA just resigned their signal deal this morning.

DiscreetPicks said...

Santa Anita - Race 6

#1A In The Woods (8/1 ml)

Big, flashy gray for Frankel has been away a long time, but that's nothing new for him, as he's always been a very brittle sort. What's important is that he has loads of talent, and has proven himself capable of running a big race off the bench. Always thought this horse was stakes-level, though he hasn't been able to put it together due to the injuries. Returns with his usual series of good workouts, and the 7-furlong distance hits him right between the eyes. He should also get a good trip here, laying off what figures to be a very lively pace for the elongated sprint distance. Little doubt this horse runs a strong race, and he's a juicy overlay at anything approaching his morning line.

DiscreetPicks said...

In The Woods had every chance in the lane, but simply couldn't keep pace with Wine on the Porch, who had run competitively vs. the stakes colt Two Step Salsa early this year. Wine on the Porch was 3/1 on the morning line for this race, but ended up paying $14.00 for the win. nFine performance too, repelling several challenges on the front end before opening up daylight in midstretch and holding on for the win. In the Woods could only finish 4th after being bet down to 3/1 odds.

Brian said...

Speaking of ADW deals, I just noticed the Magna & Churchill tracks are slowly returning to Youbet.com. First the Fair Grounds now MD and Gulfstream. Admittedly, I haven't been paying attention for the last month, but did I miss someone declaring peace??? You'd think progress on such a contentious issue would get more play from someone - unless everyone realized they were acting like asses and would prefer it just go away.