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Friday, March 17, 2006

Brad and John on Bob and John

- There’s always more than one way to look at things in this game, and two writers who I like and respect very much take different views of Bob and John (Seeking the Gold), the likely favorite in the San Felipe. To the Form’s Brad Free, he’s part of what he terms a pleasant cast of allowance-caliber 3-year-olds taking part in the race.

Bob and John's last-start Beyer Speed Figure is 102, which would mean something if he earned it like a real stakes horse. But he did not. In the Grade 3 Sham, Bob and John pushed a weak pace and ran away from weak rivals.
I don’t know what it is sometimes with a race like this in which there’s a favorite that dominates his field. For one thing, what’s so weak about third place finisher Sacred Light, whose form is starting to resemble that of pre-Derby Giacomo? And he won by 4 ½, what was he supposed to do; how many lengths would make it acceptable? 15 maybe? It’s almost like Free is penalizing the horse for the sheer fact that he ran against a field that he deemed to be weak.

John Pricci, on takes a longer-term view of Baffert’s colt.
The fact Bob And John is about 6 lengths behind Derby par, more than that behind divisional-leading Brother Derek, can be a good thing: He has more room to improve, to grow into a serious Derby presence, the timing that might enable him to peak on May’s first Saturday. The San Felipe gets him to the Santa Anita Derby. He’ll need to be ready for the race of his life prior to the race of everyone’s life in Louisville.
I like Bob and John and I've been following his progress and anticipating more; I like his trainer and love his bloodlines. He’ll still face questions of class even if he beats this field, but it will set up the Santa Anita Derby nicely if he does.


Walter said...

...well, there doesn't appear to be any obvious physical issue with Point of Impact...the report on his March 10 workout seems fine enough...still no idea why he was entered in the grass race... for the San Felipe, i don't have any reports on Bob and John, but Point Determined had a nice workout on March 10, and Refinery looked very sharp on March clocker even referred to Refinery as "rapidly improving", so he'll definitely be one to keep an eye on...

throwaway said...

I agree with you, Alan, on Bob and John. At this point, I'm more concerned with how well he's running than the company he keeps. I suspect he'll get to bang heads with the big boys soon enough in the Santa Anita. Meanwhile, he's developing a nice foundation, shows a nice closing punch, and steady improvement.

In the Gotham, aside from the possibility of the obvious two (Keyed Entry and Achilles) running around the track 1-2, any chance for a late-runner like Sunshine Appeal to close into the mix? I didn't see his 2nd place finish to Like Now, but on paper it looks like Like Now has some decent speed, got looose on the lead, and Sunshine Apppeal did well to close to within a couple of lengths. Now with the stretch out and the speed in the race, he might get a good set-up; just not sure if he's got enough talent, though.

Walter said...

...just looking over the pp's for the San Felipe, and noticed something odd...David Flores, who rode Point Determined in all 3 of his SoCal starts, somehow turns up on Sky Diving for the same trainer (Baffert)...meanwhile, Garrett Gomez takes the call on Point Determined...Gomez WAS aboard for the March 10 workout btw, not sure if that has anything to do with the switch...