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Sunday, February 24, 2008

A Zippy Sunday

- Just Zip It is listed at 6-1 in the morning line for the 7th at the Big A on Sunday, her first try against winners. She actually regressed a couple of Beyer points when she won her last; but even that number certainly looks competitive for at least a piece of the $46,000 purse. In order to get into the winner's circle, she'll have to make up the three plus lengths she lost to Aegean Breeze in her comeback race, as that one shows up here. Aegean Breeze is listed at 8-1 in the morning line, which is just plain bad oddsmaking in my view; strictly on the figs, she should be the morning line favorite. That role instead goes to Abby Morgan, who has been close four times at this level.

Just Zip It hardly looks outclassed here, but will need to step it up against winners, despite the drop back to state-breds. Jockey Jose Espinoza also may want to think about a change of tactics back to her closing/stalking ways, as a repeat of her wire-to-wire win may be difficult in this field, especially with the aforementioned Aegean Breeze, who outclasses the rest on the Moss pace figures.

- From the sound of these comments, that was quite a nasty spill at Gulfstream yesterday, and if you don't mind, I"m going to take a pass on watching it. Sounds a bit similar to the Phillip X breakdown a couple of weeks ago in that it took place in deep stretch right in front of the stands; and to the George Washington disaster in the Classic in that the dreaded screen was quickly brought onto the track. Elvis Trujillo was knocked unconscious, and is thought to have fractured his wrist.

I have to admit that I totally overlooked Einstein in the GP Turf, mistakenly thinking that he was past his peak form. Wrong. But Shug's Dancing Forever showed that his stakes win at Calder late last year was no fluke, and this always-trying five-year old son of Rahy could very well be a factor in the turf division this year.