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Thursday, September 21, 2006

Franchise Flurry

- Amidst a flurry of activity, including Jeff Perlee's double-edged missive to the state oversight board, and perhaps the first indication that there are indeed live human beings at the Lottery Division, NYRA has made an appeal to the members of the New York Thoroughbred Horsemen's Association (NYTHA) for support in their efforts to get approval for the Aqueduct casino. In a letter mailed directly to NYTHA members, NYRA points out that the slots will generate over $200,000 daily to purses and breeders awards. "Purses at Saratoga, for example, should have been $900,000 a day."

The letter recounts NYRA's failed effort to elicit the support of the NYTHA board in an August 24 meeting with the horsemen and a Sept 1 meeting with the board. The first effort resulted in a poisonous press release that came out the next day through, according to NYRA, Empire's PR firm. In that release, a copy of which is also enclosed in the mailing, NYTHA president Richard Bronze accused NYRA of holding a "fire sale of New York racing assets."

"The VLT program was enacted by the state Legislature and the Governor to help the horse industry, not as a giveaway program to be divided up among Las Vegas casino companies or Indian gaming operators."
But as if to acknowledge its own hypocrisy, the release also admits that "racing operators" have since joined the Empire coalition, mentioning Woodbine and Churchill, but not Magna nor the huge conglomerate Delaware North. Those investments are said to be limited to 6%.

The package also includes NYRA's response to that release, as well as a September 1 letter to Governor Pataki in which Charles Hayward disputes the notion that approval of the casino would negatively effect the franchise selection process.
By statute, NYRA's management agreement with MGM will transfer to, and be binding upon, any successor to NYRA. Moreover, the Ad Hoc Committee's own RFP instructed bidders that any successor to NYRA will be required to assume the terms and conditions of the existing management agreement between NYRA and MGM.
Hayward goes on to point out that further delays will threaten its agreement with the Pension Benefit Guarantee Corporation to establish a schedule to pay off its pension obligations, which would in turn, according to Hayward, "only further frustrate and delay this vital project." NYTHA members are asked to sign a letter of support and return it to NYRA in a self-addressed, stamped envelope (and I wonder if they received approval from the oversight board for that expense).

Perlee's letter to the oversight board urges the release of the remaining $19 million to keep NYRA operating, independently of the Lottery Divison's approval of the VLT project. But at the same time, it tweaks NYRA for its financial problems, twisting the association's characterization of its Saratoga meeting as an "unparalled success" in an attempt at irony. He also urges further review of the MGM contract, which was granted without a proper bidding process, asking the state to compare it to existing racino agreements. Empire is clearly concerned about the prospect of a NYRA bankruptcy filing, perhaps because it could lead to an unwanted court ruling on the issue of who owns the land that the tracks reside on. Perlee's letter prompted this response from Hayward, questioning why Perlee would seek to add a further delay to approval.

Meanwhile, the Lottery Division speaks (!), releasing a statement disputing NYRA's contention that the final draft of its agreement was provided to the division four months ago.[Daily Racing Form] They claim that the latest revision to the agreement was not received until the second week of August.

Wednesday, September 20, 2006

Wednesday Night Notes - Sept 20

- Christophe Clement sent out first-timer March to Victory to do just that in the second at Belmont, a two-year old maiden turf race. According to Formulator, that's his 4th such winner out of his last nine starters over the past 12 months. March to Victory paid $9.50, and that's the longest win price of the four. It's always impressive to see a first-timer be able to rate and make his way through traffic like this son of Dixieland Band did. It reminded me a little of the way Clement's most impressive Admiral Bird won his debut at Saratoga...though not nearly as powerfully. Pletcher's entry of debut runners went off as the 3-2 favorite, and ran a respectable 3-4.

Jimmy Jerkins took the sixth, a baby turf race for fillies, with Christmas Kid, winning in her second start. She's a daughter of Lemon Drop Kid out of Christmas Gift, a stakes winning half-sister to Bright Candles, the dam of Grand Slam. Her third dam is Sugar Plum Time, a popular Calumet-bred stakes winner here in New York in the 70's.

- Last week, a commenter asked my opinion of NYRA's new website. It seems like the changes are mostly cosmetic. The content is similar, but everything is easier to access than before from the left-hand column. But as the reader pointed out, the matrix board for exactas and doubles (and yes, QQ, the quinellas too) are backwards. Whereas the rest of the industry has the winner numbers listed on the left, NYRA has the winners spread across the top. And in general, I don't particularly like the look of the tote board they're using.

- Please feel free to email me with questions, comments, suggestions, or whatever (please be nice).

A Bonus For the Gold Cup

- Being the cultural snob that I admit that I am, I grow to despise phenomena such as You Tube once it gets too popular. However, one must adjust to the times, and I've watched with envy as the more technically adept TBA bloggers have utilized the videos from the site. And political sites such as Think Progress have used embedded video effectively to catch some of the lying liars on this unhappy planet in the act.

So, I figured it out; it wasn't that complicated, really. I'll use it sparingly, and wanted to find the tape of Dylan Thomas's win over Ouija Board in the Irish Champion Stakes, since both horses have been in the news the last couple of days. Ouija Board will probably run in the Prix de l'Opera rather than the Arc. You gotta love the way the Brits put things sometimes: After pipping Alexander Goldrun in an epic duel for the Nassau Stakes at Glorious Goodwood, the five-year-old mare was just touched off by Irish Derby winner Dylan Thomas in the Irish Champion Stakes at Leopardstown last time. [Sporting Life]

And today came the news that Dylan Thomas will run in the Jockey Club Gold Cup, and may I say WOO-HOO!! Wow, the top three-year olds in the U.S. and U.K. squaring off right here at Belmont. However, Aidan O'Brien tried to temper expectations, saying that he wasn't expecting Dylan Thomas to be pipping Bernardini. "We wouldn't go there expecting to win it, by any means." [Thoroughbred Times]

In looking for the epic duel between the two on You Tube, when I searched for Ouija Board, all I could find is this Morrissey video.



A search of 'Dylan Thomas' yielded the race, though the call is in French. Apprécier!



[EDIT: I read Walter's comment after I posted this; he points out that the Dylan Thomas news is not being reported in the UK...and O'Brien does say that he "wouldn't go there expecting to win," which does sound rather tentative.]

Super Derby a Little Super

- At this point in the season, a three-year old race without Bernardini or Discreet Cat is kinda like a series between the Braves and the Nationals. But nonetheless, The Super Derby is shaping up as a pretty interesting race amongst some of the second stringers (as in, anyone other than the two mentioned above) who figured more prominently earlier in the year. Lawyer Ron, fresh off his successful return at Fairmount Park, is scheduled to face Point Determined, and Strong Contender.

The latter is perhaps the most overhyped horse of the year and speaking of which, what ever happened to Point of Impact? No sign of that Baffert colt these days, but the trainer's Point Determined returns to the dirt after failing on the turf, and gets the nod for the trip to Louisiana over stablemate Bob and John. Baffert told the local Shreveport Times: "He's still a horse that is lazy and learning, but he's tough....It's going to be a tough race, that Lawyer Ron, he's no slouch."

Strong Contender makes his first start since a disappointing third in the Haskell. Trainer John Ward says that the son of Maria's Mon has matured, and he still has lofty aspirations for him.

"The horse has gotten stronger, and he's leveled that big stride out. He used to have big knee action, but he keeps his back very level and is doing everything like he should....If everything goes well and he runs a big race, I'd have to look at the Classic, because he's an improving horse." [Bloodhorse]
But Lawyer Ron has matured too, according to trainer Bob Holthus, who pointed to the way he rated comfortably from well off the pace in his return. "I think he's more relaxed now. You can probably take him back further. It's just maturity. He's gotten older, has a little more seasoning." [DRF] Louisiana Downs is also the site of his fastest race, the 106 he earned in the Risen Star (he got a 103 at Fairmount). You may recall the way Lawyer Ron was able to kick home so quickly after going to the lead earlier in the year, so he could be quite formidable rating as he did. But as far as the Classic goes, Holtus said: "He'd have to run a very high (speed) number to consider the Breeders' Cup. That race is going to come up with some very nice horses."

- Empire Racing released a brief statement in response to Alan Hevesi's letter to the New York Lottery Divison. "This thing has been a mess for years and is just getting worse. 2007 can't come fast enough." Gee, thanks for that Perlee of wisdom.

- Sue at Post Parade is all ga-ga over Dreaming of Anna, the juvenile filly who beat the boys on the grass at Woodbine on Sunday. Steve Davidowitz, writing in the Form (and it's nice to see him writing regularly in the Racing Bible about a real sport again), doesn't rank her in his top three prospects for the Juvenile Fillies.
1. Point Ashley: A very impressive winner of the seven-furlong Del Mar Debutante; Bob Baffert-trained, bred to improve with more distance.

2. Five Star Daydream: Shug McGaughey-trained; improved on cue to win second career outing, more development expected in the fall.

3. Octave: Finished well for her win in the 6 1/2-furlong Adirondack; trained by Todd Pletcher who, as usual, is loaded with prospects for this division. [Daily Racing Form, sub. only]
Baffert is pointing Davidowitz' top pick to the Grade 1 Oak Leaf Breeders' Cup Stakes on Sept 30 at Santa Anita. As for Dreaming of Anna, she is by Rahy, and is a full sister to Lewis Michael, out of a half-sister to grass champ Kitten's Joy.

Wednesday Morning Notes - Sept 20

- It rained here in NY a bit on Tuesday, so I don't know what the fate of Wednesday's grass races at Belmont are going to be. I suppose that the 2nd, a maiden mile for two-year olds, is a prime candidate to go on the main track. However if it doesn't, note that Pletcher has an entry of first-timers, and he won with four of these on the grass upstate.

One half of the entry is Top Cross (Gone West). This colt has trained steadily going back to July, and he's out of a grand distaff turf family. He's out of a three-quarter brother to the European sprint champ Mozart. And his third dam is the great turf filly (and equally grand broodmare) Glowing Tribute, the dam of graded turf winners Hero's Honor and Wild Applause, as well as the Derby winner Sea Hero.

- Two and a half weeks until the Jockey Club Gold Cup, but Bernardini has already been installed as the 13-8 favorite for the Breeders Cup Classic by one prominent UK bookie. As Walter would say, good grief! The paltry odds being offered around prompted Gary West to ask the other day, Is "Bernardini" Italian for "Secretariat?"

He wasn't questioning the horse's talent; but rather his point was that the low odds mean that bettors don't view the Classic as contentious. There's no doubt that there are going to be some very good older horses from here and abroad in the race, and at scale weights, I'm not sure if Bernardini is going to be much less than 13-8 come post time.

That partly depends of course on how he does in the Gold Cup, but he's going to be facing a lot better than Invasor on BC day. It's always an intriguing matchup - if I recall from memory anyway - when the top three-year old takes on a talented older horse, and Invasor has won three Grade 1 races here. But I for one question the true quality of what he's beaten, especially with Flower Alley having gone off form. He earned a 113 Beyer all out to beat Sun King, while Bernardini got ratings of 114 and 116 in the Jim Dandy and Travers while barely breaking a sweat.

Of course, Invasor's only loss was in the UAE Derby, where he lost to Discreet Cat by six lengths. That was in March, in a three-year old race in which Invasor was eligible due to being bred in the southern hemisphere. So Discreet Cat has already beaten a quality older horse, and though he got nine pounds, it seemed only fair at that stage of the year. Who will face that one in the Jerome, we can only guess. I suppose someone will jump in for a shot at second place money. I liked Walter's idea that should the race be a walkover, it could be a workout for the Gold Cup six days later. But the Sheikh seems determined to keep he and Bernardini apart, to the rest of the racing world's chagrin. C'mon Sheikh, man, throw us a bone here, you've already thrown us your oil money!

Tuesday, September 19, 2006

Hevesi An Unlikely Ally

- "New York Racing Association is the poster child for mismanagement and corruption," said Alan Hevesi, the state's Democratic Comptroller in June 2005. "NYRA takes the cake....This is the worst agency of all." Hevesi has been one of NYRA's most severe critics going back several years. And though he made it clear at the time of the above statements that he was talking about past management, and that the new team was working to clean up the mess, Hevesi was always quick to score political points by taking the opportunity to kick the easy and convenient target that NYRA had made itself. So one wouldn't think that he would now become the first prominent politician in the state to come to NYRA's defense in their current standoff with the state.

But the delay by the Lottery Division in approving NYRA's contract with MGM and allowing construction of the Aqueduct casino to commence is so outrageous, and such an obvious and egregious abuse of political power, that Hevesi blasted the agency in a letter obtained by Bloodhorse.com in an excellent bit of reporting.

"It is not in the best interests of the state's taxpayers or the future of Thoroughbred racing in New York, or the state's finances, to create the appearance that the state is deliberately forcing the current franchisee to fail."
.....
"Is there really an interest in forcing NYRA into bankruptcy? Is it in the interest of New York state to have this critically important asset (and industry) undervalued? Is it actually someone's intention to change the dynamic of what is purported to be an open and fair competitive process to select the next franchisee?"
Hevesi also made it clear that the political maneuvering is having an effect that goes far beyond horse racing, pointing out that the state budget includes revenue based on an October 2007 opening of the racino. "Delay in establishing this facility creates a substantial risk to the state's financial plan, potentially exacerbating the out-year gaps to be faced by a new executive, which my office already estimates could exceed $13 billion."

The only other public figure I've seen criticize the delay is oversight board member Joseph Torani. I wonder where other Democrats are on the issue, considering the highly partisan atmosphere accompanying the party's expected takeover of the governor's mansion in January. And then there's the New York horsemen, who have aligned themselves with Empire Racing, NYRA's chief competitor for the franchise. Last month, they declined an appeal by NYRA to help them pressure the state to give approval. But is it really in their interest for NYRA to go into bankruptcy? Or to see further delays in the money that will fatten purses once the machines go online? Can they be sure that racing would continue uninterrupted should NYRA fail? Is Empire really prepared to smoothly take over the racing operation at the end of this year, or sooner? And if the horseman are so opposed to NYRA, do they really want to see a bankruptcy court decide the issue of who owns the land that the tracks sit on, a decision that could halt the entire process in its tracks?

Monday, September 18, 2006

What's Next, a Glowing Horse?

- The Head Chef likes Tarkus Trakus. She felt that it helped her understand how the race is actually run. She was able to see the little Purple Chicklet representing Becrux seeming to sway back and forth through the stretch as Patrick Valenzuela looked for some racing room before he burst through to take the Grade 1 Woodbine Mile.

Trakus reminds me of when the NHL was on FOX in the 90's. They implanted a chip in the pucks that produced a blue glow around it when seen on TV. Nowadays, you can bet that the glow would be red. When the puck was shot at 70 MPH or more, there would be a red streak tracking its path.

According to Wikipedia, there was a "divided response" to the so-called FoxTrax.

Newcomers enjoyed the feature, since they could follow the game more easily. In fact, a Fox Sports survey found that 7 out of 10 respondents liked the new puck.

However, there was a strong backlash among hockey purists. They argued that the video graphics were a distraction and turned hockey into a video game. Others said that it really shouldn't be hard to see a black puck on white ice. The glow puck was ranked as the No. 6 "worst idea" overall in the book "Glow Pucks & 10-Cent Beer: The 101 Worst Ideas in Sports History" by author Greg Wyshynski. (Taylor Trade 2006)

The concept was later parodied in a Molson Canadian beer advertisement where an American marketer is attempting to sell the idea to a boardroom full of Canadian executives. As he is forcibly ejected from the room, a blue comet trail follows him (i.e. "they passed").
As a racing purist, part of me reacts with as much disdain to the gimmickry with which I did to the glowing puck; and the idea of a live sport turning into a video game came to mind in both cases.

But as opposed to the hockey fiasco, Trakus definitely serves a purpose, even if I think it's just a little silly and more than a little distracting. Surely I can see how useful it would be for simulcasting. It's pretty often that I'm watching a race on a distant screen wondering just how far back in the pack my selections are. It's also useful in seeing exactly what path a horse is in down the backstretch and going into the turn.

And besides, what can be a better way to introduce horse racing to video slots players than with a video game? No need to televise the actual race at all! Post the highest-paying exotic combinations on the board, and people can just bet on numbers and watch colored chicklets.

As far as the real Becrux goes, a little red-boarding reveals a horse that showed definite improvement at age four, and continued to progress throughout the year, most recently a close second in the Grade 2 Play the King. But he's not nominated for the Breeder Cup, and owner Barry Irwin said he's not going.
"I put up [supplemental] money to run the Breeders' Cup twice, and once we got our money back and once we got an incredibly bad ride from Pat Day....This is just before he retired. Why he couldn't have retired before that, I don't know.

"I'm never supplementing another horse to the Breeders' Cup because . . . when you go out and do that, you feel like an idiot. I do, anyway." [Toronto Globe and Mail]
Ready's Gal, who won the Grade 2 Canadian for Pletcher, is by More Than Ready, currently number two on the third-year sire list. Win McCool, the winner of the Floral Park on Saturday, is by Giant's Causeway, who is number one. Win McCool was her sire's 13th stakes winner of the year.

- As I said, I took the weekend off from racing. Except that on Saturday, following my own advice regarding trainer John Hertler, I bet on Distant Tycoon, who I guess wasn't long enough at 11-1. He finished last. On Sunday, I went to the see the Jets lose, and didn't pay attention to the races at all. And I figured that all the races were off the grass anyway. Later, I learned that Hertler's Retribution opened up a huge lead and won the Ashley T. Cole by four, at 25-1! I hope somebody out there had him! This horse has some rich turf breeding; he's by Rob N Gin, a graded grass winner, and second in the Atto, and his second dam is a half to the Irish champ Committed, the dam of Hap, and of the dam of English Channel.

In response to David Rex's inquiry, I can tell you via Formulator that Hertler's ROI for the last 30 days, which doesn't include the 40-1 winner he had at Saratoga on July 30, is $13.27, with three longshot winners in 15 starters - and remember he had that 11-1 shot DQ'd! Over the last 90 days here (NY only), his ROI is $7.38 with nine winners fron 51 starters, and a median payoff of $39.40.

Senate All Mixed Up

- Bloodhorse.com is reporting that due to a clerical error, the wrong version of the bill recently passed by the House that would ban horse slaughter has been sent to the Senate. ..A House clerk apparently delivered an amended version of the bill that would have allowed existing slaughter plants to remain open.

In addition, Left at the Gate has learned exclusively that the bill became mixed up with a different measure currently being debated in the Senate. The erroneous bill would allow for terrorism suspects to be shipped to the slaughterhouses, while horses would be sent to secret CIA detention centers where they would be subjected to aggressive interrogation techniques such as being verbally abused by particularly obnoxious degenerates from Aqueduct, and being forced to watch the film "They Shoot Horses, Don't They?"

Lost in the Fog Is Lost

- Lost in the Fog has been euthanized, as reported first (as usual) on Bloodhorse.com. (Even the Pedigree Query site had the news of his death before the Racing Bible.)

"We accomplished what we wanted to do," said trainer Greg Gilchrist Sept. 18. "It was all about giving him quality (time). We did everything we could for him. He was happy and content right up to the end. He went quietly and easily."

Gilchrist had just finished grazing Lost in the Fog outside his barn at Golden Gate Fields on the San Francisco Bay Sept. 17, which he did twice daily, and was heading to the paddock to saddle a horse when Lost in the Fog went into distress.
The Champion Sprinter of 2005 (and deservedly so) epitomized much of what is good about the sport. He was a horse of modest beginnings who earned his fanfare on his ability, rather than from prominent connections and fancy bloodlines. His connections shunned the temptation to run him in Triple Crown races at distances far beyond his ability, as well as the lure of big money offers from others who likely would have done exactly that. His campaign was a fair balance of stakes races at the major race meetings, along with opportunities for the fans at his home base in Northern California to see him in action. He won ten races in a row, showing brilliant speed, and the heart to prevail in seven furlong races that were probably an eighth of a mile beyond his optimal distance.

Yet you could feel Lost in the Fog's detractors dancing a jig when he went down to defeat in the Breeders Cup. I'll never understand why some people were so anxious to see him lose, especially considering the integrity and modesty of his human connections. I suppose they were putting their own egos and reputations ahead of what undoubtedly would have been far, far better for the sport. Some even suggested that a horse from the barn of a trainer who was suspended for illicit medication should win the Eclipse award instead. I hope they all feel really stupid now.

Saturday, September 16, 2006

Belmont Notes - Sept 16

- Trainer John Hertler is worth a mention for his recent lucrative results at Belmont at Saratoga. He had two winners at Saratoga, both of the bombshell variety - first-timer Baxter paid $88.00 on July 31, and though it took the trainer a full month to return to the winner's circle there, Oden's Tale rewarded $59 to his backers. On closing day, Classic Marilyn ran a game second at 19-1.

At Belmont thus far, Hertler has sent out six runners; two of them crossed the wire first. Landofopportunity returned $87.50 in Thursday's second, and then in the 6th, his Citifest finished first at 11-1, but was DQ'd to second after bearing out and bumping the runner-up in the stretch. The day before, Classic Marilyn once again proved Fundamentally Loathsome to those who left her out of the exactas, again hanging tough for the place, this time at 15-1. On opening day, Deelites Gold rallied for a close third at 18-1.

So I wouldn't dismiss the chances of Distant Tycoon, 15-1 in Saturday's 4th - he finished a very decent 5th despite traffic trouble in his debut in May; nor of Retribution in Sunday's 9th. Though the latter race is likely to be taken off the turf, note that this one was a longshot winner for Hertler on July 8th, scoring on the grass at 18-1.

- Grand Merger, a John Kimmel-trained two-year old filly who romped by 11 in the slop in the 4th at Belmont on Friday, is a full-sister to Stephen Got Even (AP Indy) who graduated in her second start.

- The attendance at Belmont on Friday was under 2,000 for the second rainy day in a row.

Friday, September 15, 2006

The Sixth at Belmont

I know this is kind of like a Dan Illman post, but...

What do you think of the 6th race at Belmont on the Saturday card? That's a tough one.

OK, I'll take that one; it is an interesting race. Of course, the track condition will be a big factor; it will definitely be wet, but could be at the drying out/tiring stage by then. Extreme Supreme is the morning line favorite for John Ward. He returns after about six weeks off after winning by seven at Saratoga. But that race may look better on paper than it really was. I'm wouldn't put too much into the fact that the second and third place finishers came back to win. That's Our Point won in $40K maiden claiming company; and Tall Story lasted against three rivals in an off-the-turf race that was absolutely excruciating to watch - he ran the final three furlongs in :41.1.

On Board Again was very, very good in his return at Saratoga. He was significantly wide throughout the turn for home, but battled on until the end, just missing against a couple of decent horses, particularly the graded stakes placed Simon Pure. That was his first race in eight months; Frankel is 24% second off the 180+ layoff. So I think he'll be a prime factor assuming he handles the track. He's 5-1 morning line, but I think that's a pipe dream.

Nick makes a case for Superfly, who wasn't far behind On Board Again in his first race since April. It makes sense, but I dunno, I just don't care for this horse, nor his brother for that matter. But who am I to argue with a guy who hit a $900 exacta the other day?

A horse that interests me is Border Cat, 6-1 morning line. He's had two decent tries at shorter since coming to America for Richard Dutrow. He's registered quick final eighths both times, and had some trouble in each, five wide in one and bumped offstride at the start in the other. Now he stretches out to the one turn mile, and there's no reason he shouldn't relish this modest stretch out. He's by Storm Cat, out of a Devil's Bag mare who is a half-sister to the dam of Johannesburg; and his second dam is a full sister to Preach, the dam of Pulpit. He also has the highest Tomlinson mud number in the field.

So I think I'll stand against Extreme Supreme for the top spot, and against Oh So Awesome as well. The latter was purchased by Team Valor specifically for the Belmont, and the cutback to a mile smacks of desperation after some disappointing tries. He is dropping in class significantly though, and I suppose has to be used in exotics. I like On Board Again and Border Cat and will have to see the tote before deciding exactly what to do, but an exacta box seems in order and perhaps some triples keying one or both of those two with the others mentioned above.

Thinking of the Big A

- Home on a Friday evening with no near-term prospects of going to the track. It's not that I can't go tomorrow. But the rain that has had the Belmont track sloppy for the past two days has actually intensified, so you can bet that the slow-drying main track will be sloppy all day tomorrow, and the turf off. So I'll take a pass. And I'm going to the Jets game on Sunday. The Head Chef can attest that I sometime get cranky after a track-less weekend.

So the TV is tuned to TVG. What the hell is up with that mug shot of Iggy Puglisi? He looks like he's auditioning for a guest spot on the Sopranos. It's Fairplex, and what's up with this meeting anyway? There's this strange period in which none of the major track in California are open, and they race on that tiny fair track instead.

Racing has been going year-round here at the NYRA tracks for many years; I don't even want to venture a guess how long it's been now. It's only fairly recently that they've at least let up on the schedule around Christmas. They used to race on Christmas Eve with a 10:30 or 11:00 A.M. post time. This year they close on Dec. 18 at least through the 26th and then, who knows? Perhaps there's some significance to the fact that the rest of the calendar on the newly designed NYRA website is left blank. If NYRA doesn't get the remainder of their bailout loan, who knows when racing will resume?

Unfortunately, though I wasn't yet into racing then, I'm old enough to remember when Aqueduct would go dark at Xmas and not return until mid-March. Each day, the New York Post would print a little cartoon guy on the back page who would let us know "23 days until the Big A," and the excitement would build as the days counted down. The opening was a big deal, since back then in the pre-OTB era, only those with illegal bookies were able to wager on races out of town. It's like moving to some state where betting on horse races is against the law!

If not for the delays, which the state is largely responsible for at this point, there could have been some anticipation for the opening of the Big A this year. Even those of us who could care less about slots (if not being outwardly hostile towards them), would admit, I think, that they're excited about the place becoming a hot spot again. The crowds will be back, even if they're playing slots. We hope that they'll be some effort to promote the racing product on the other side. In time, there will certainly be major improvements to the racing portion of the plant, some of which hasn't seen a single renovation in 20 years. Someone who spilled coffee on the carpet in the Man O'War room in 1989 can still see their handiwork on display.

The place will be hopping at night, man, and surely, the state legislature will finally relax the arcane laws that prohibit simulcasting there past 7:30 P.M. Who knows, perhaps nighttime mile-track harness racing, an idea that I used to see floating around, will finally come to Queens. How cool would that be?

Instead, we're facing another bleak winter there, no matter what happens with the franchise between now and then. With most of the grandstand having been closed, the place looks abandoned even when it's open. It would be an eerie backdrop if NYRA is running out of cash and the resumption of racing is in question come December. And does anyone doubt it will play out exactly that way?

NY Franchise Decision Could Be Delayed

- Word comes now that the Sept 29 deadline for New York's Ad Hoc Committee on the Future of Racing to decide on who to recommend as the new franchise holder is likely to be pushed back, and would anyone mind if I say I told ya so? And in any event, the recommendation will be non-binding, and is likely to have little influence once the Spitzer administration takes over in Albany.

Meanwhile, MGM responded in a letter to Carole Stone, the chairperson of the committee overseeing NYRA's operations, who on Tuesday affirmed that the remainder of NYRA's bailout package won't be released until MGM "commits" to the project.

'MGM is ready, willing and able to go forward with its plans to construct and manage the Aqueduct VLT project,' [MGM Exec VP Gary] Jacobs wrote. 'MGM is enthusiastic about the Aqueduct VLT project, is ready to loan the funds required to construct the project and is eager to commence construction and launch VLT operations.' [Saratogian]
Well, of course they're eager. In fact, it's an insult to the intelligence of every racing fan in the state for anyone to even suggest that the approval of the racino is being held up for any other reason than petty bullshit politics.

And just in case lame duck Governor Pataki, who is putting his stamp on the state government with long-term political appointments at an unprecedented rate, is holding up approval in an attempt to make MGM go away, perhaps in an attempt to steer the business to someone who has generously contributed to his campaigns (just speculating here), Jacobs made it clear that the company has "substantial rights and remedies" in its VLT contract with NYRA that will be binding on whoever holds the next franchise to operate racing at Aqueduct. [Bloodhorse]

Thursday, September 14, 2006

Math Lesson

- Getting back to Deep Impact's mile and a half workout, and the discrepancy between the reported distance that he reportedly finished up in 21 seconds, Walter was right, it ain't much.

Did you know that you can use Google as a calculator? You can type in any mathmatical formula, hit search, and it spits out the answer. For example, type in 45 x 648 / 21.3759, and you get 1,364.15309. Pretty cool, eh?

Similarly, if you type in 400 meters = ? feet, you get 1,312.33596 feet. And if you enter 1/4 mile = ? feet, you get 1,320 feet. So you're only talking about a difference here of 7.66404 feet. So whichever way you measure it, Deep Impact came home pretty damn fast.

The Cheaper the Bettor?

- Been meaning to post about a column that Jay Cronley wrote on ESPN.com last week. A recurring theme in Cronley's column is that he likes to bet on cheap horses in cheap races, and after recounting the futility in handicapping the Woodward (It was as though the facts and figures led up to a big equals sign, and beyond that, a question mark), he asks: Why bet a tough stakes race instead of a cheap claiming race?

It's as though winning handicappers have to pay a low-rent tax after hitting a 10-1 shot in a $5,000 claiming race. It's [as] though hitting a stakes race makes you sleep better.

Many people think cheap claiming races are run roughshod over unruly surfaces, featuring pot-bellied trainers and old horses.

So? [ESPN.com]
Personally, I get a kick out of hitting cheap races out of town, but unlike Cronley, who says Twenty-to-one shots are easier to find, I always seem to come up with the favorites when I look at those races. I grew up strictly on a NYRA diet, getting accustomed to the racing here before simulcasting came along. I guess it made me spoiled.

But while I wouldn't say that hitting a stakes race makes me sleep better, I think it definitely carries a premium. Strictly from a financial standpoint, Cronley is probably right. Stakes races can be impossible to bet. I'm sure there are a hundred $5,000 claimers every week that are far easier to figure than the Breeders Cup Turf. The Breeders Cup Turf? That race is whack, man! Besides being run at an unnatural distance, you have all those European horses with the sparse running lines. I can't make heads or tails of that race.

But we're racing fans, and the big stakes races are what the sport is all about, and of course I want to have some action on it. I don't have to bet them, and I've passed on many a Breeders Cup race (though never the Derby), and to be sure, I don't think it's a great idea to tap out the bankroll on these races. But if you have some opinions on some very good horses at great prices in contentious stakes races, being right can be well-rewarded. Not only financially, but for the all-important ego boost as well. The bragging is better when the races are bigger.

Nonetheless, always having an open mind, I found a nice $5,000 claimer - for non-winners of two for that matter - going as the 10th at Turfway tonight. So I'm going to tackle this one; I'll let you know what I come up with. If anyone has any ideas, let me know.

Rich Kid in a Candy Store

Question:

For you, is it about developing stallions to stand in America or is it about the challenge of winning American races?

Sheikh Mohammed:

"I think they're together. You have successful stallions. You having a racing operation; you have a breeding operation. The whole thing. Buying the horses, you want them to win when they pass the racing post, then they become stallions. It's the whole thing."
For a guy that's spent enough money in the last few days to finance the war in Iraq for about five hours, this interview on Bloodhorse.com seems to reveal a really, really rich guy who doesn't seem to know a whole lot more about horse racing than you or me. In fact, there are those who believe he knows a lot more about camel jockeys.

Magna and the Meadows

- Here's a story out of the Beaver County Times that could conceivably have large implications for Magna. The completion of the company's sale of their Meadows harness track in Pennsylvania is still pending the issuance of a license for slots, and you may recall the ominous footnote to their last financial report in which they questioned their own viablility as an ongoing concern should it not be completed. They've already had to accept a reduction in the sale price due to the high tax rates.

Now comes the report that the Meadows' casino plan received the third degree from the state's Gaming Control Board during this week's license hearings; the board and the track apparently have grossly different projections on the revenue the slots facility could garner.

The gaming board's staff analysis shows $100 million a year in revenues at a temporary facility, while company estimations [sic] based on independent market reviews were $215 million.

Bill Paulos, co-owner of Cannery Casino Resort, the new buyer of the Meadows, said the project could not stay afloat off such gaming staff projections, considering what would amount to a 60 percent tax bite from state and local governments.

"If they're right, you should not put a casino at the Meadows," Paulos said. "It doesn't pencil. We wouldn't do it."
The board also expressed concern over the owners' financing plan, which would have to produce, in addition to the costs of building a permanent facility, the $200 million to complete the purchase from Magna. ..Gaming board members said state statute requires that slots licenses be awarded only to projects that are "likely" to be successful and wondered if the Meadows fits that bill. And they disputed a study paid for by the track that predicted that 35 percent of the region's 2.1 million adults would visit the Meadows to play slots.

35%!? Jeez, I would hope not! In any event, I imagine this is all causing a little more heartburn for Frank Stronach.

- And while the licensing process continues in Pennsylvania, surrounding states continue to beef up their own gambling in response. Existing racinos in Delaware are undergoing expansions. A state law enacted earlier this year allows casinos to add 1,500 machines in 500-machine increments. Dover Downs has already added 200 more machines, and plans are in the works for 74,000 additional square feet of space, and 550 to 650 new machines.

Harrington Park has commenced construction of a $35 million project that will almost double the size of the casino at the state fairgrounds. [Newszap.com]

The Northeast is fast becoming one giant slots parlor, and there has to be a limit to this somewhere, doesn't there? It's not going to be a pretty picture for racing if and when it all comes crashing down.

Wednesday, September 13, 2006

Hello Goodbye

- YO, does anyone know what's become of Mike E.'s hero?

Wednesday Night Notes - Sept 13

- I swear, I was really going to post last night that I did not like West Virginia in today's feature at Belmont. But to go out of my way to pick against a Pletcher horse did not seem like a wise use of my time. And besides, I didn't really have a solid alternative to offer.

Naughty New Yorker ($13.40) made as much as sense as anyone if you wanted to oppose the favorite, who went off at 1-2 in the General Douglas MacArthur Stakes. This four-year old son of Quiet American was way overmatched in the Woodward, but was back to the friendlier confines of NY-bred company today (thanks to the race being delayed from Friday). And his trainer Pat Kelly has been doing very well of late, and is one to watch at a price. He won five races at Saratoga, and other than Naughty New Yorker, who won another state-bred stake there at 2-1, he had two winners at 13-1, one at 15-1, and another at 7-1. Kelly's Egyptian King ($24.60) was the horse who completed the $705 Pick Four with the three favorites who won the Grade 1's at Belmont on Saturday.

- Churchill Downs unveiled its logo for next year's Kentucky Derby.



According to the Thoroughbred Times, the logo features the futuristic profile of a horse racing against the wind past a stylized depiction of the Twin Spires.

Really?





Well, at least there's no mention of Yum! Brands.

- Barclay Tagg is now hedging on the Turf or the Mile for Showing Up. "I don't think he'd be any slouch at a mile....I could make a good case for it. He's got a good turn of foot.'' [Daly Racing Form]

I'm still marveling over the 10.95 final eighth that Cacique put in on Saturday. Now comes news of a mile and a half workout for the Arc de Triomph by the Japanese star Deep Impact in which he covered the final quarter-mile....in an unofficial 21 seconds flat under regular rider Yutaka Take. [Daily Racing Form] [EDIT: According to the UK's Sporting Life, it was the last 400 meters that he covered in 21 seconds (thanks Walter); and the last half mile was 50 seconds]




Are you guys getting this?

Send in the Gaming Board!

- You think that the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board is taking its responsibility to issue casino licenses to the tracks there seriously?

Philadelphia Park is 80 percent owned by London-based financier Watche A. Manoukian, who bankrolled [Philly Park's parent company's CEO Robert Green] and partners when they bought the struggling track in 1990 and made it profitable.

A 1999 Inquirer series showed how Manoukian used the track as a tax shelter through a series of offshore holding companies. But Manoukian and 32 others identified as key personnel came through more than 3,300 hours of investigation over nine months by the Gaming Control Board.

Green said board investigators tracked down his ex-wife, whom he hasn't been married to in 25 years, in a remote part of Ireland. [Philadelphia Inquirer]
Maybe we should sic these guys on bin Laden.

Tuesday, September 12, 2006

Here We Go Again

- As the memory of Saratoga starts to fade, so will NYRA's cash flow. Charles Hayward told the state's oversight panel that NYRA will run out of cash at the end of the year, in a scenario similar to that of last year. NYRA was prepared to go to bankruptcy court before being bailed out by the state, who may have been leery of the court ruling on the crucial land ownership issue. However, if the Ad Hoc committee recommends later this month that Empire or Excelsior be awarded the franchise, NYRA may already be in court over the issue by the time the money runs out.

The oversight board won't release the remaining $19 million of the bailout loan until MGM "commits to the project." Hayward insists that the process is being held up by the state Lottery. "MGM would love to get started." [Bloodhorse]

And why would they possibly NOT be committed to the project? Why would anyone possibly think that MGM isn't champing at the bit to open a casino in New York City, where they will have, at least for the time being, no competition at all?? So I'm not buying the state's explanation for holding up the money at all. And consider also that MGM earned the job without a competitive bidding process, and I'm still not totally clear as to how NYRA ended up getting away with that. But in any event, you KNOW that the terms must be quite favorable to MGM.

And those terms are something that Empire's Jeff Perlee is quite interested to see, considering that they will be bound to the deal should they win the franchise.

Perlee said that all prospective bidders and the public should be allowed to see the NYRA-MGM management contract and how it compares to other VLT deals in the racing industry. The deal specifies how much the VLT operator will get from net gaming revenues.

"There remains a lot of questions," he said. "No one can make that determination until details of the contract are known. Anyone and everyone has got to see that contract.

"If we're asked to be bound by something, we'd at least like to take a look at it. Maybe this isn't such a good deal for the state." [Thoroughbred Times]
Perlee has a valid point here. But perhaps he should have been asking these questions before the franchise bids were submitted instead of spending time wooing potential poison pills like Churchill and Magna.

R&R for Highland Cat

- Thanks to reader Bank Check for persisting in getting me to update you on my powerhouse stable. Haven't had John Ferguson hanging around Billy Turner's barn, that's for sure. As the summer zipped by, I neglected to post any updates and I apologize for that, but it's partially because there was nothing really to report.

Christening is fine, thanks. She's recovering from the surgery for the condylar fracture that she suffered when she stumbled coming out of the gate in her last race, a second place finish at Delaware. No decision is expected on her racing future until the end of this year.

Highland Cat was left behind at Belmont with what we thought were sore hocks and a bad back. He was then sent down to a farm in Virginia for some rest and treatment. But a recent update we received from the farm was what seems to be very encouraging news:

[The vet] looked at Highland Cat and he felt that his sacroiliac is badly strained, he started him on Estroven today and wants him to have one shot a week of this for four weeks and he can start jogging in just a few days and he thinks the polytrack will really help b/c there will be reduced pull on his hind end instead of what the sand would do. he felt it was purely a conformation issue and that he should recover well and move right back to soundness behind. He said his point for that was all that was bothering him, hocks were fine and that he was so sore on palpation that the estroven would be the best treatment and we should see improvement in a couple of days.

I am pysched about Highland cat's prognosis, b/c [the vet] thought we could really help him and it wouldn't take that much! Our track is really awesome....it has made all the other crap we have been through worthwhile!
So there you go, sounds like the cutie will be back on the track at some point. (Though perhaps Nick can enlighten us on exactly what this means...)

And here's introducing a third horse in another Castle Village partnership in which I have a very small share; a two-year old NY-bred filly named Just Zip It. She's here at Turner's barn, and though she's had no timed workouts as of yet, all signs are fine thus far. We're hoping she'll debut sometime by the end of the year.

She's by City Zip, the half-brother to Ghostzapper who is off to a fine start at stud; he's currently fifth on the second-year sire list. She's out of a mare by Gate Dancer, a real favorite of mine, and a name we don't see too much in pedigrees these days - he passed away in 1998. She has a half-brother, Buster's Rodeo, who won in state-bred maiden special company last year. We paid $25,000 for this one. Hopefully, I'll have some better luck with her than with the others.

Here's a couple of pictures - she seems to be quite the spitting image of her sire.




Keeneland Sale Wraps Up

- Sheikh Mohammed al-Maktoum has announced that he has purchased the remaining 4,686 yearlings that were scheduled to be sold at the Keeneland September sale, as well as auctioneer Ryan Mahan and several of his spotters. "This sale features the most athletic yearlings in the world, and the Sheikh decided that he should have all of them," said bloodstock agent John Ferguson, adding "There's gotta be a Grade 1 winner in there somewhere."

The Sheikh also announced that he has purchased Todd Pletcher, NYRA, TVG, TV Guide, the Daily Racing Form, Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, the Bush twins, who he plans to breed to the spotters, as well as Preakness winner Bernardini. When reminded that he already owns the latter, the Sheikh said that he was just making sure.

Sore Loser

- As the bidding passed the $9 million mark [on the $11.7 million colt purchased by Sheik Maktoum], Coolmore Stud owner John Magnier turned from his perch behind the staging area and stalked off. [AP]

Poor guy.

Monday, September 11, 2006

Yearling Madness

- Brad totalled up the lunacy at Day 1 of the Wal Mart of yearling sales, and the results showing the dominance of Dubai is certainly no surprise. The Maktoums spent $29.7 million on 16 yearlings, a total bordering on obscene. On the other hand, Coolmore had a pretty quiet day, for them. Yes, they were the underbidder on the session-topping $8.2 million Storm Cat colt, as well on as the runner-up $5.7 million Mr Greeley colt, also purchased by the Sheik. But they ended up far down the list with four purchases at an average of "only" $631,250. Maybe they're on a budget after The Green Monkey, (and I haven't gotten a single workout report on him since his "minor" setback at Saratoga). Perhaps they're merely driving up the prices that their arch-rivals end up paying.

Sheik Mohammed's agent John Ferguson said that the sales-topping Storm Cat colt is "one of the best Storm Cat's Sheikh Mohammed has ever seen and you add that to the fact he is out of a young group I winning mare and that becomes a very exciting prospect." Awesome Humor (Awesome Again) won three graded stakes as a two-year old, including the Grade 1 Spinaway.

Ferguson also came away with a $3 million half-brother to Pulpit, by Storm Cat.

The Maktoums are hoping that their expensive purchase will fare better than recent sales toppers. The last six Keeneland September sale-toppers sold for a combined $37 million but have earned slightly more than $505,000 on the track to date. [Lexington Herald Reader]

Take A Bow

- Et tu, John? Looks like Not to the Swift has also succumbed to the temptation of Beta Blogger; I feel as if it's closing in around me. I'm a bit scared by the ominous warning of: Your blogs and profile will stay the same — but you can’t go back to the old Blogger application. Jeez, that's kind of final, isn't it? What if I don't like it? I have this fear of somehow losing all of my posts if something goes wrong. And John's blog is morphing before my very eyes - it just turned yellow.

Anyway, John was excited by Barclay Tagg's first timer Nobiz Like Shobiz, who won at Belmont on Saturday, as was Patrick, another Beta Blogger, who commented that he's hoping this is what [sire] albert the great needed, loved that horse.

The horse in question is a two-year old son of the abovementioned sire, out of a Storm Cat mare, and he blew away a field that featured a Pletcher entry who finished 2nd and last at what seemed like (in retrospect of course) an extremely overbet 7-10. Nobiz Like Shobiz, making his debut at a flat mile, opened up turning for home, and just kept on going, drawing off to win by 10 3/4. According to the race chart, he widened on his own courage, winning as his rider [Cornelio Velasquez] pleased. He stopped the timer at 1:35.26; final quarter in an effortless 25 seconds. And by the way, I've been reading some criticism of Tom Durkin lately, but one thing at which he's quite impeccable is his calls of the margin of victory in routs like this; he had it (almost) on the nose at ten.

As for Albert the Great, he is indeed off to a slow start at stud, standing for $7500 at Three Chimneys. When a horse has his second crop on the track, but the blurb on his Stallion Register page starts off Fast. Sound. Honest. rather than touting the number of stakes winners he's had, that's not a good sign. He had his share of winners in his first juvenile crop with 15, but his stakes output consists of two seconds, one of those in Mexico. He's going to have to pick that up, or he could find himself south of the border as well.

But a look at Albert the Great's race record shows you why Patrick is so enamored of him. He won five graded stakes, and at age four, he ran second in Grade 1's four times, and third in the Classic. I wonder if the plight of Sun King reminds Nick Zito of anything..

Albert the Great won the Widener at Hialeah, establishing a track record of 1:45.52 (!) for a mile and an eighth. He won the Jockey Club Gold Cup at age three, with older horses Lemon Drop Kid and Behrens far behind. "Look at him stride away powerfully," Durkin exclaimed as he trounced his field by six. You can watch the stretch drive of that race right here.

News and Notes - Sept 11

- Discreet Cat and Bernardini have each had their first morning workouts, at Belmont, since their dominating wins at Saratoga. We can only hope that we'll be able to mention their names in the same sentence when talking about a race sometime soon. Discreet Cat worked five furlongs on Saturday in 1:02.06 (10/32); and on Sunday, Bernardini got the distance in 1:01.68 (12/18). The latter is preparing to meet Invasor in the Jockey Club Gold Cup; and the former beat the same rival soundly in the UAE Derby on Dubai Day.

The turf course at Belmont is not in great shape, and three races were taken off on Sunday despite what was a perfect weather weekend. According to the NY Daily News, NYRA lost about $1 million in handle. "We ripped it up pretty good on Friday," said jockey John Velazquez. "It's been soft since opening day." One race remained on each course, however, and Johnny V. explained that the courses were "rolled." "It's just like when they seal the main track. It makes it tight and safe for that one race but you can only do it once a day on each course."

- I've read attendance estimates ranging from 3,000 to 10,000 or more for the first day of harness racing at Chester Downs. Perhaps they haven't installed the turnstiles as of yet. But considering this was a pure "racing" play with no slots installed yet, it has to be viewed as a significant success regardless of the exact figure, especially with the Eagles opening their NFL season on the same day. And the reviews from both the fans and horsemen were excellent. Dave Palone, perenially amongst the leading drivers at the Meadows, said: "The racetrack is super fast; it’s a good firm surface and the horses are getting over it real well. It’s a nice wide passing lane, so it gives everyone an opportunity to get loose. No complaints whatsoever." [Harness Link]

And it's great to read of the enthusiastic crowds - I read several people invoke the old days of Liberty Bell and Brandywine. But there were, I imagine, many of the curious in attendance, and it remains to be seen if the enthusiasm continues. Until, of course, slots arrives. And today, Chester will be one of the racetracks that will have a chance to expedite that occasion when they have their two hours to present their case for one of the "early-bird" slots licenses that are being offered to the existing tracks, which hope to have slots up and running early in 2007. The bidders seeking standalone casinos will have to wait until late October to make their case, and until December 20 before those licenses are issued.

- Gretchen Jackson spoke to Bloodhorse.com about the status of Barbaro:

"It (Barbaro's recovery) doesn't seem to have gone back. We haven't had a crisis since the laminitis. His coat is shiny. He lost a lot of his tail. Did you know that? (It's from) balancing him coming out from operations; I don't know if it's hands on him or what. But he lost a lot of his tail. But that's all coming back. Everything is just starting to blossom, and you want to see light at the end of the tunnel. We haven't had Dean say there is light is at the end of the tunnel."

Five Years

Five years
My brain hurts a lot
Five years
That's all we've got

- David Bowie

- I'd been in Lower Manhattan for several of the ticker-tape parades that have taken place in the "Canyon of Heroes" to honor the city's championship teams, as well as the Pope. So the sight of scraps of paper fluttering to a soft landing on the city streets was not an unfamiliar sight. But why I would be seeing that at 8:50 A.M. against the brilliant blue sky of September 11, 2001, upon getting off a bus at the corner of Wall Street and William Street, around six blocks from the World Trade Center, was hard to say.

The only explanation I could come up with was that it was some kind of marketing stunt, and that the scraps would contain the URL of the latest internet start-up destined for riches. But when a man in front of me yelped and brushed off a piece of paper that was in flames, it was apparent that there was a far more insidious explanation. "A plane hit the World Trade Center," I heard someone say. I think that only in New York City would I and those around me simply proceed into our buildings for a day of work rather than running like hell. In the South Tower, occupants returned to their offices when advised by security that everything was OK.

The TV news was on when I arrived in the 8th floor office; an eyewitness was confirming initial reports that it was a small Cessna-type plane. So I remember going to my desk; I suppose I was going through the motions of preparing for work. Payroll was due to be submitted that day. A couple of guys went out to walk over to the scene to take pictures. At 9:03, the sound of a huge explosion rocked the building, shattering any notion that there was anything innocent about what was occuring just a short walk away. We could not see the towers from our location, so we all went racing to the TV to see the second building in flames. At first, we thought that the fire in the first building may have somehow sparked an explosion in the second. The local newscasters were puzzled too until one of the station's weatherpeople called in to say that she thought she saw a plane hit the building; and the replays confirmed that fact.

The Assistant Head Chef, who in those early days of our relationship, had progressed far beyond Line Chef but had not quite achieved her stature of today, had a clear view of the towers from her bedroom window, and suggested that perhaps I should leave. The company president told everyone to stay put. And that seemed like a good idea. There were airplanes crashing into nearby buildings, and who knew what would be next. The New York Stock Exchange building, an obvious target, was practically around the corner. Then, when word came that the Pentagon was hit, no one doubted that we should stay put. I guess I never considered that the towers would collapse because I don't recall fearing that the building would topple over in our direction.

At 10:05, there was another sound of an explosion, but it wasn't quite that. It was a deep rumble that shook the building as it steadily increased in intensity. The company controller, Emile, was standing by the window that faced over Chase Plaza, in the direction of the towers. Hearing - and feeling - the rumbling, outside he saw the spreading dust from what neither he nor anyone else in the office knew was the collapsing of the south tower, accompanied by the sight of people running for their lives. Emile is one of those big burly guys with a deep, piercing voice that could shake a structure on its own, and when he bellowed, "EVERYBODY GET THE FUCK OUT!! GO GO GO!! GET THE FUCK OUT!!!," well, we got the fuck out. We raced down the stairwell, the women were screaming and crying like all the rest of us wanted to, not knowing if we were going to be blown up. We obviously were not the only ones who panicked at that point, as the stairwell was filled with people fleeing the floors above us.

A man yelled out that the top of one of the towers had fallen into the Hudson River, and that we should be calm. But panic occurred again when we got to the bottom, and we had seemed to reach a dead end. But we then realized that we had indeed reached the bottom and the front doors; but the white dust and smoke was so thick outside, that we had originally mistaken it for a white wall with nowhere to go.

We huddled in the building lobby. Several people covered in dust stumbled in, gasping for breath. One was an employee of our company, who told us that she had just gotten off the subway. They had sat between stations for an hour with no explanation of what was going on, and then were finally let out at the Wall Street exit without a clue! Thanks for riding the MTA, and have a nice day. We had to tell her that planes had hit the twin towers.

At this point, I specifically recall discussing leaving with a colleague. But there were rumors, a common occurance on Wall Street to be sure, of reports of planes that were still unaccounted for; plus there was the matter of the second tower, whose collapse we could only assume was imminent, as well as the poor air quality outside. Being inside the relative purity of an air conditioned office seemed the safer option, though the stench - that WTC odor that would become a familiar feature of NYC life for the next several weeks (even in Queens if the wind was blowing the right way), made its first appearance, seeping in through the windows and ventilation system.

We headed upstairs, back in front of the TV screen, without much of a plan as to what to do next. The Assistant Head Chef had witnessed the collapses from her window, and wanted me to leave. Then, at 10:29, what was for me the most memorably haunting moment of the day took place. I saw on the TV screen the sight of the north tower starting to topple. First the antenna at the top gave way, and - well, you all know what it looked like, I'm sure. But this time, there was no sound at all. Nothing. The north tower collapsed in absolute silence, at least in our office at 40 Wall Street. So, at first, I thought I was watching a replay of the first tower going down. Certainly, this massive structure could not possibly be imploding just six blocks away without a peep. But I heard the TV reporter solemly say, "And now the second tower collapses," with the matter-of-factness of a routine traffic report.

When I think back to that moment, the picture that comes to my mind is that of a silent movie. In slow motion, and black and white, complete with the little scratchy lines. But with no musical accompaniment at all. Someone warned those that were not watching, who were completely unaware due to the absence of sound, to be prepared for whatever would result outside. And what would result was darkness. Pitch black. As opposed to the white cloud from the first tower, the second tower collapse blackened the air so completely that it was as if someone had boarded up the windows with black cardboard. We waited nervously for the air to clear, wondering what would happen if we lost power, which certainly seemed like real possibility.

The air started to clear after about a half hour, and it was about another 90 minutes before the police came up to advise us of the evacuation route. We cut up some unused company T-shirts to use as masks, and put on colorful company hats so as to try and stay together. We walked through the dust and debris, and reached clear air as we moved east and north. And though it was a long, long walk to, and over the Williamsburg Bridge, into Brooklyn to the subway that took me back to Queens, at least I made it home. Compared to what others went through, my day was like a day at the races.

- Five years later, and, cruelly, the skies over New York are crystal clear blue, just as it was on 9/11/2001. Not long after that day, the French newspaper Le Monde declared, "We Are All Americans." Five years later, not only is that hardly the case throughout the world, but even us Americans aren't all Americans. We're Republicans or Democrats, liberals or conservatives, red or blue, for or (mostly) against the war in Iraq and the president. The damage inflicted upon this country, and the world, has gone far beyond what occurred that day. It seems ironic that with all of the brilliant minds that have populated this world, it's the words of a two-bit thief named Rodney King which come to mind today. "Can't we all just get along?" It was a simple and poignant plea for unity. On September 11, 2006, it's something that seems far, far beyond our grasp.

Sunday, September 10, 2006

Brilliant and Miraculous at Delaware

- The turf was soft at Delaware, and Fernando Jara blamed the going for the last place finish by the previously unbeaten After Market. "He had never been on a track like this. He just did not run today." [Bloodhorse] Man, he was even money and barely ran a step. But personally, I'd also consider that it was the first time he faced adversity - he had a bad post for the first time, and encountered conditions and a pace scenario that was not ideal. Not to take anything away from his winning his first four races, but one got the feeling that he was beatable. If you don't mind me doing a little redboarding, maybe if I was paying attention to the race....

Brilliant had been undefeated on grass before checking in fifth, two lengths behind After Market in the Hall of Fame at Saratoga. He broke from the eight post and got himself caught three wide on the turn, and closer to the pace than usual. So moving into the three post, 9-2 seems like a fair price, especially with the grand benefit of the hindsight of his six length win! By the Mile winner War Chant (for whom he's the only stakes winner of the year), inbred to Roberto and Princequillo, out of a full sister to the Bernard Baruch winner Furiously. Hey Walter, can I get 50-1 or so on him in the Mile?

I also wouldn't be hesitant to bet against After Market next time he runs if the bettors blame his showing 100% on the soft track. I'm not saying he would have run last under any turf condition, but he may not have beaten Brilliant regardless given the post positions.

Also worth noting the performance one race later by Miraculous Miss, the once-beaten filly who was injured in a frightening flip in the starting gate for the Acorn on June 10. She needed 10 stitches to close a cut on her hind leg and six more for a cut over her eye.

"It was a solid 3 1/2 weeks before she even hit the racetrack again," Klesaris said [before the race]. "There are no easy spots, but she needs to get going. She's been training very well, and we are going to give her a run." [Delawareonline.com]
Run she did, and against older fillies and mares too, winning the Endine, a Grade 3 at six furlongs. She's now six-for-six on fast tracks, at distances up to a one-turn mile. Miraculous Miss is a half-sister to Tiger Heart, second in the Vosburgh and the De Francis Memorial.

Trio of Favorites

- Favorites won all three of the Grade 1's at Belmont on Saturday, and if you were inventive enough to add 11-1 Egyptian King as the final leg in the Pick Four, it was good for a generous $705.

Magnificent Song has flown under the radar in the Pletcher stable, quietly moving up the ranks from allowance to overnight stakes to a Grade 3 win in the Lake George, in which she wasn't even the favorite, as the trainer's Wait A While established herself as perhaps the top three-year old grass filly in the country. The daughter of Unbridled's Song was the 5-2 favorite in the Garden City, a race that screamed wide open, especially given all the improbable results we've seen over the last week here and at Saratoga. Her price was partly subsidized by all the money pouring onto Chaibia, coming off a Grade 3 win in France. 12-1 in the morning line, she was hammered to 4-1 in her U.S. debut.

As she did in the Lake George, Magnificent Song came from last to first. Garrett Gomez moved between horses on the final turn, saving as much ground as he could before he tipped out in the stretch, and they blew them all away; she really outclassed this field, kicking home to win through a final furlong of 11.93 seconds. It's the first Grade 1 winner of the year for her $150,000 sire Unbridled's Song.

- Pine Island won her second Grade 1 in three weeks when she completed the Alabama/Gazelle double, taking the latter in her usual closing manner. Javier Castellano said that this one was easier, despite the return of three-time Grade 1 winner Bushfire, who finished a disappointing fifth as the 9-5 second choice. "In the Alabama I had to work a little bit and she responded, but she's gotten better and better, and today at the three-eighths pole she went right behind the two speed horses, and when I asked her at the quarter pole and turning for home, voom she goes by [Teammate]." [DRF]

Sweeping the Alabama and the Gazelle is hardly new territory for Shug McGaughey and the Phipps stable. They won both races with Heavenly Prize in 1994 and Versailles Treaty in 1991. McGaughey also completed the double in 1986 with Classy Cathy for owner Edward Cox. The last filly to sweep the races was Silverbulletday in 1999.

Pine Island is a daughter of Arch (Kris S) out of Matalcha Pass (Seeking the Gold), a full sister to Pleasant Home, who won the Distaff for Shug last year. The trainer indicated that that may be Pine Island's next race. "I might be more inclined to wait for the Breeders' Cup (Nov. 4)." [Bloodhorse]

Arch is also the sire of Arravale, the French-bred three-year old filly who also won a Grade 1 stakes when she took the grassy Del Mar Oaks just three weeks ago. He has a third 2006 G1 winner in Les Arcs, winner of the Darley July Cup and the Golden Jubilee in the UK.

- And how about Cacique, who seems to have earned himself a shot at the Breeders Cup Turf with his awesome victory in the 1 3/8 mile Man O'War. Bobby Frankel had his doubts about his ability to handle longer distances, but no longer. Not after he cruised to a 1 3/4 length win in which he got the last furlong in 10.95 seconds! This five-year old son of Danehill has now run in six Grade 1's since coming over from France. The Man O'War was his second win, to go with three seconds, and he's never finished more than a length back.

But don't dismiss Showing Up just yet. He acquitted himself quite admirably taking a huge step up in class against older Grade 1 horses, I thought. He ran his race, moved to the lead, but was simply outrun and outclassed at scale weights by an extremely talented older rival. I'm not going to put too much into the fact that he lost the place spot to Go Deputy; he battled on gamely despite Cacique blowing by him. It's also quite possible that marathon distances are not his strongest point, and it will be interesting to see where Tagg goes with him from here. He had been mentioning the Turf, but perhaps the Mile would be more a suitable spot. And also don't forget that he's shown ample talent on the dirt as well, so it shouldn't be a shock if, depending on the circumstances, he turned up in the Classic, should it?

Saturday, September 09, 2006

Saturday Morning News - Sept 9

- NYRA shot back at Empire's ill-conceived press release on the attendance at Saratoga, the latest in a series of missteps by the group considered to be the favorite to wrest the New York franchise from the incumbant. The release has earned ridicule from, amongst others, ESPN.com's Bill Finley, who pointed out that perhaps no track in the nation has seen more severe declines in on-track attendance in recent years than Gulfstream Park, which is run by Magna Entertainment. Empire put themselves on the defensive ever since bringing Magna on board, with their history of mismanagment and the well-publicized debacle that is the new Gulfstream.

NYRA's Bill Nader pointed out that NYRA no longer gives out free passes which inflated attendance before 2005, and added:

'Even by Saratoga standards, this was an MVP season,' Nader said. 'There's no racetrack in North America that will come close to the kind of numbers that Saratoga put up.'

Nader said that this year's average daily purses, the amount paid to horsemen, were a record $676,451. In addition, all-sources handle averaged $15.67 million, up from a year ago, while average on-track handle remained constant at $3.2 million. [Saratogian]
NYRA will continue to emphasize their ability as a non-profit to maintain their lucrative purse structure.

On Tuesday, the state's oversight board will meet regarding the balance of the $30 million bailout package that kept NYRA from going to bankruptcy court last December. They've only received $11 million of that, and without the balance, we could be headed to the brink again in December. The balance is tied to the VLT project that the state won't approve. It's becoming clear that there will be no VLT's at Aqueduct during NYRA's current reign, which expires at the end of 2007. Just do the math; it will take a year to build, and we're already in September, 2006, with no approval from the state in sight.

- Dubai World Cup winner Electrocutionist is dead of a heart attack, as At The Eight Pole was up early this morning to post the news.

Friday, September 08, 2006

Belmont Notes - Sept 8

- Belmont reopened on a beautiful late summer day, and only 3,776 people showed up. We can expect a press release from Empire any moment now. A twilight card at Belmont last Friday instead of Saratoga certainly wouldn't have drawn the 18,000 or so that the latter did, but it would at least have gotten the fall meet off to a festive start instead of what I imagine must have been a pretty depressing one. Still, we do have the three Grade 1's on Saturday. For the comparable program last year, which included a 4th Grade 1, the Woodward, with Saint Liam, the crowd was just 8,365, with gas prices well over $3. I imagine they'll be hard pressed to get that on Saturday.

Latent Heat won today, beating older horses handily at 1-2. I didn't realize that he had earned a 107 Beyer for his allowance win at Saratoga. Today, he got a mile in 1:35.34; final quarter in 24.52 seconds. Next stop, who knows, but it will be in stakes company I'm sure. Of course, there's the Jerome on Oct 1, if Frankel wants to take on Discreet Cat.

I I posted about the Phipps/Shug McGaughey first-timer Foolish Bid who ran in the baby turf race. Noting his morning line of 8-1, I said he could go off anywhere from 4-1 to 14-1, but I was wrong. Try 26-1! He finished well back of Pletcher's Cowtown Cat, who I specifically said I didn't like.

Here's some interesting stats on Phipps' trainer Shug McGaughey. If you look at his record with two-year old first timers over the last five years, he has a winning percentage of 16%. But if you look at just the last 12 months, he's 0 for 17. And you have to go back 23 starts, to Aug 15 of last year, to find his last winner with one of these. Another reason why it pays to be cognizant of recent trends when you're looking back at trainers' percentages.

Shug and Phipps had a long priced winner in the 7th, a maiden claiming race on the turf, with Chantal Sutherland aboard. Humdinger (Broad Brush) was 12-1 in his first try for a tag, and first attempt on the turf. He's a classic Phipps-bred, out of a half sister to Finder's Fee; second dam Fantastic Find, third dam Blitey, etc, etc..., yet, there he was for a 45K tag. He looked like a winner every step of the way, handily stalking a slow pace, and skipping away in a final eighth of 12.04 seconds; so maybe Shug pulled one over on everyone, including the bettors.

- Trainer Keith O'Brien hadn't had a winner all year prior to Saratoga, but had four winners from 25 starters there. And he won the opener of the Belmont meet with 14-1 Sacre Via. Johnny V was aboard, as he was for two of the winners upstate. 8-1 shots completed the $3401 triple, and the meet is off and running.

No Barbaro Burgers in House

- CBS reporter Jim Axelrod told us last night on the CBS Evening News With Katie Couric that during these final weeks before Congress recesses for the election, it will be "all terror, all the time." So I suppose the headine of the story on TIME.com that reads "Horse Slaughtering: The New Terrorism?" was an appropriate one. The majority party of a woefully unpopular president is trying to paint the Democrats as "weak" on national security as November's crucial elections approach, in part by exploiting the tragedy of 9/11 as they did during the 2004 election. But in doing so, they will call attention to unpopular programs such as the NSA's illegal wiretapping, as well as to the prison at Guantanamo Bay and, inevitably, to the inmate abuse that spread from there to Iraq.

So it was probably smart politics for House Republicans to schedule a vote on the horse slaughter bill over the objections of a White House that many GOP candidates are trying to distance themselves from, as well as from some Democrats, who protested that the chamber has more important things than horsemeat on its plate. Many of the latter ended up voting for the bill anyway, as it passed by a vote of 263-164 after what was termed a "fiery debate." "Let's not sign off on Barbaro burgers," urged Rep. Jan Schakowsky, D-Ill., a backer of the measure. [SF Chronicle]

It's certainly worth noting that the debate on the bill is just as contentious within the equine industry as it was in the halls on Congress. The American Quarter Horse Association (AQHA) is said to be the "largest equine group in the country," whatever that means, and they, as well as the American Association of Equine Practitioners, oppose the bill. A statement on the AQHA website reads:

H.R. 503 does not offer any solutions to the 100,000 unwanted or unusable horses that are sent to slaughter facilities each year and infringes on the rights of all horse owners. Additionally, the bill does not have any oversight measures or guidelines for equine rescue operations that are expected to absorb these horses each year. AQHA supported humane transportation and treatment laws for horses bound for slaughter.
Backers of the bill cited California as proof that the AQHA's fears are unfounded.
Sponsors of the bill also noted that warnings of dire consequences for horses have not been borne out in California, which banned horse slaughter for meat after voters passed Proposition 6. California has seen no increase in abuse or neglect cases, and horse theft has fallen by about 34 percent, according to state data.

"This has been the law in California for many years and all these naysayers, these predictions of bad (things) happening, it just hasn't happened in California," said Rep. Sam Farr, D-Carmel. [SF Chronicle]
Of course, the bill still has to pass the Senate, which is currently smack dab in the middle of the wiretapping and Guantanamo trials debates (neither of which is off to a good start for the White House); so you would think that its chances of being addressed during this session are slim. Also pending in the Senate is the bill passed by the House during the summer that would outlaw internet gambling sites. That's an issue that's far more trivial than slaughtering horses, but, not surprisingly, it's on Senator Frist's agenda for the session nonetheless. The GOP may have little else to present to its conservative base come November 7.

Thursday, September 07, 2006

Notes - Sept 7

- There should be little letup in the quantity and quality of the baby races now that racing has returned to Belmont. Two are carded for Friday, and here's a horse that I don't like in the first one, a six furlong dash on the dirt. Cowtown Cat is a $1.5 million two-year old this past March after a breeze of 10.1 seconds. In his debut, at Saratoga, he went off at 7-10 for Pletcher, and had to be ridden hard from the start. He had an absolutely perfect trip behind dueling leaders, but had nothing in the stretch while racing greenly. The only reason why he was close at the end was because the leader collapsed towards the end, prompting a last minute calvary charge, with dead-on-the-board Zito first-timer Boogie Boggs getting up for the win. So Cowtown Cat will likely be a short price again - he's 2-1 morning line - and I'd look to beat him. Though you know how opposing Pletcher usually goes.

De Lucia is rated at 5-2; he's another expensive ($375,000) juvenile sales graduate and another beaten favorite in his debut at Saratoga- 2nd at 6-5 for Scott Blasi. He broke poorly and rallied for second, but benefited from a very fast opening quarter, and slow final eighth.

Amongst the first-timers, Shug has a classicly Phipps-bred colt in Foolish Bid; 8-1 in the morning line, he could go off anywhere from 4-1 to 14-1. I noticed that the tote board at Saratoga was quite decisive in pointing out who was live amongst the Phipps youngsters (or not). Foolish Bid is by Maria's Mon out of Miner's Game, a full sister to Seeking the Gold, and a half to Fast Play. Survivalist is the best of the winning siblings to Foolish Bid.

Gary Contessa, who did not have a great meeting upstate, has an Orientate colt named Black Jack Blues. Nice workouts listed, but he sold at Ocala last March for just $95,000 after working his quarter in 21.3. That's a pretty good time, just off the 21.1 that was fastest for that day. So I wonder why the selling price was so low. There's not much to see at all pedigree-wise on his distaff side to be sure.

The sixth is a baby race on the grass, and the only ones who have run on turf are stuck on the AE list. All but two of the main body horses are making their debut. Vim N Vigor debuts for Jimmy Jerkins. He's a half to the grass stakes winner Lemong Drop Gal. He's inbred 4x4 to Secretariat, and has a few nice grass runners in his family, including the multiple G1 turf winner Bienamado. Allan Jerkins starts Leading On, who is by Mt. Livermore (Blushing Groom) out of a Dynaformer mare. His second dam is a half to the Grade 1 turf winner Cacoethes.

Scott Blasi has the morning line favorite in first-timer Cipher, a son of Gone West out of the Mother Goose / Ashland winner Fleet Renee.

- It turns out that Trevor Denman has called Breeders Cup races before. But he had to be reminded by the Form's Jay Hovdey that he was the voice of Santa Anita's low-watt, in-house radio broadcast when the races came to California in 1986. (sub. or print edition only)

While Durkin's voice boomed out across the public address system and the television airwaves, Denman was sequestered in a sound-proof radio booth, painting word images of Lady's Secret romping in the Distaff, Manila escaping trouble to beat Theatrical in the Turf, and Skywalker shocking Precisionist and Turkoman in the Classic. The transmission reached about as far as the parking lot, but there were listeners, especially among the early Denman loyalists who actually booed when their man turned the microphone over to Durkin as the Breeders' Cup races commenced.

"I think the signal just barely got across the street to Tommy T's, or one of the local bars," Denman said. "But as far as I know, nobody saved a tape."

Lost treasures, to be sure. Thank goodness, 20 years was not too long to wait. [DRF]

Guided By Voices

- Having completely missed the NFL preseason, I put on the game tonight to check out the sport's return to NBC. For so many years, the AFL/AFC were on NBC, and the NFL/NFC were on CBS, and that was the way it was, period. It still feels a little unnatural to me when I see the AFC on CBS. And the thought of seeing any NFL games on NBC seemed strange - wow, it's been eight years!

But when I turned on the game, it all seemed very familiar...except for the referees' uniforms, anyway. And that's because they have Al Michaels and John Madden doing the game - it's like deja vu all over again! There doesn't seem anything new about this at all. I'm a bit surprised that the network didn't want to put their own stamp on the coverage in the form of some new voices.

So at the risk of belaboring the point, once again I'll say that I think it's a great idea for ESPN to hire the distinctive voice of Trevor Denman for the Breeders Cup. It will go a long way to making the coverage seem fresh and new on its new network home, and I think he has the kind of style that new racing viewers will really get a kick out of.

- In the article I linked to above about the referees' uniforms, the author tells of how he/she searched the internet via Google to find reaction to them. And she wrote: The funniest I saw were references to horse jockeys, but I'll tell you the truth. I like them. [DelmarvaNow.com]

A horse jockey? What's that? As opposed to a lawn jockey, or jockey underwear? Anyway, do they remind you of horse jockey silks? Let's see...







Hmmm, well, maybe they have a point there! It conjures an image of a jockey throwing a little yellow flag when he or she gets fouled.

Seems Too Good To Be True

- Belmont opens tomorrow, and I'll link back to my rant about the fall meeting from last year, rather than repeat myself. But I'll reiterate that come mid-October, I for one not only look forward to the opening of Aqueduct, I earnestly anticipate it.

But we're off to a rousing start this weekend with two excellent Grade 1 stakes races on Saturday; and these are not just excellent because they're Grade 1's. These are excellent Grade 1's...unlike the third Grade 1 on the card, the Garden City Breeders Cup, which doesn't actually have any Grade 1 horses.

The Gazelle has three of them amongst its six starters, including Pine Island, who you know wouldn't be running three weeks after winning the Alabama if she was trained by Todd Pletcher. Also entered is Bushfire, who has won three Grade 1's - the Ashland, Mother Goose, and Acorn; and Wild Fit, who has a first and two seconds at this level. The latter is returning to the site of her tough-luck second in the Juvenile Fillies, and as I've mentioned here many times, she loves one turn. She hasn't had a clean try at one turn this year; I cringe when I look back and see the way she was bet in her two two-turn tries. I love this filly because she's one of the few horses that I've thus far been consistently correct about on this blog (even though I haven't yet made a dime on her).

And as far as the Man O'War goes, it seems as if there's something wrong that there could be such a delicious matchup in store. I mean, something's gotta go wrong, right? Showing Up, the top three-year old grass horse, takes on older horses, and three of them, Relaxed Gesture, Go Deputy, and Cacique, are Grade 1 winners; and I think that the latter ran a fantastic race in the Arlington Million. I don't disagree with Frankel when he said "I thought the post position got him beat." I think that Showing Up is going to have to be very good to beat him. It's something special, that first time that you see the top three-year olds tackle top older horses. It's kinda like seeing your child go out into the world, something which I'll hopefully be experiencing sometime soon.

And we're to believe that we're gonna see Bernardini against Invasor too?