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Friday, May 18, 2007

But Steve......

....you can't pick every horse in the race, buddy! WHO DO YOU LIKE??

5 Comments:

horsecharles said...

I'd have to say the race is wide open: 8-Street Sense will be asked to stay in contact early(to a likely wicked pace), possibly dulling his late kick; and 7- Hard Spun may not get the open breather he received down the Derby backstretch.

1- Mint Slewlep, even though seemingly outclassed, has a chance by repeating its very last race of 2006.

2-Xchanger is very live w/ the Shuman factor, and esp. if reverts to closing style.

3 & 4- Circular Quay & Curlin have a chance with uneventful trips.

5 & 9- King of the Roxy and C P West can do third off layoff.

About the only one proven way inferior and out of excuses is the 6- Flying First Class...and prices will make this a short worth taking...in this very subpar 3yo crop.

Kevin said...

What the hell...

ALL/ALL/ALL/ALL

Haskin will bank!

Kevin said...

Seriously, I have a horse for you. The 6th at Hollywood tonight. CELTIC DREAMIN was literally "left at the gate" while I had a hefty W/P bet on this one. I was toiling through a terrible night at the windows and gave up on this one a few seconds after the gate opened. Somehow, the #5 horse was able to rally and came out of the clouds for a 1/2 length score.

I'm keeping an eye on this one. CELTIC DREAMIN had no business winning this race, but I'm not complaining. I had the exacta 20x along with the W/P bet. These kind of score don't come along that often for me, but I'll reinvest in tomorrow's Preakness card. The early pick 4 looks good. I won't have time to post an analysis, but I'm looking forward to the undercard tomorrow. Key CHELOKEE and the favorites in the Derby. Go deep in the turf race and try to beat HESANOLDSALT in the 3rd race of the late pick 4. I know I'll be going after it.

Sorry for the drunk post. I'm kinda giddy after my score tonight.

Kevin said...

Actually, I'll give you MAGICAL GEM in the 2nd at Pimlico tomorrow. Allen Farris has this one 2nd off the claim and offers some value. 9/2 on the morning line, but I'll bet this runner at 3-1 or better. Bet the farm.

Anonymous said...

Haskin clearly picks Circular Quay, mentions them all but lands on CQ in the win spot.

I disagree with his premise that we are looking for "overlays" or a "price", we should all be looking for the winner. Better a short price....

And that winner is....

Street Sense wins for fun and heads to Belmont with only R2R between him and The Triple Crown.

CQ and KOTR may fill out the TRI, and will be in the "under" slots with HS just in case.

Curlin ran no better than CQ and Tiago in the Derby and figures to regress off his toughest effort to date, although he will serve so soften HS in the mid part of the contest.

Hard Spun, despite all the talk about rating, appears a pure "need the lead" type to me, and will be Hard Pushed early by "Lukas' Ego" and horse X, not affording him his mid- race nap. After fending off those two during the first 6f, he will have to deal with the next wave of Curlin and KOTR. Will have nothing left turning for home.

Mr. Irwin, if you and your partners are still reading, you are in for a thrill as you will inherit the lead at the eighth pole, but, in almost a replay of the SA Derby, this time it will be Street Sense working out the inside trip to run you down. You will need to hold off the outside closing CQ for the place. No disgrace.

SS/CQ-KOTR-HS/CQ-KOTR-HS.

The Triple Crown awaits.

Mr. ED