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Friday, April 09, 2010

Hunch Bets for Friday, April 9

Fast Approaching 8th at Penn National
Delusional 11th at Evangeline Downs
Inclined To Run 7th at Tampa Bay Downs
Meet Me Midway 1st at Lone Star
Holy Trouble 1st at Aqueduct
Lies And Affairs 9th at Mountaineer
Give No Ground 6th at Gulfsteam
Be Fair 10th at Oaklawn

17 Comments:

Anonymous said...

Gaborik in the 1st at MSG.

alan said...

Can you imagine if this thing comes down to a shootout on Sunday afternoon? Wonder how the league would feel about that?

El Angelo said...

I cannot believe that it's mid-April and the hockey playoffs have not started. No rush, guys.

Anonymous said...

I doesn't matter at all. Rachel is still better. She beat Be Fair by way more in the Oaks. Zenyatta still hasn't proved she can run on moon dust or bark either, so HOY for sure went to the better horse.

Anonymous said...

Not so sure Rachel could have held second...

Dirty

Anonymous said...

can you post hunch bets for hollywood dog track. I'll be there this weekend and can use all the help I can get.

alan said...

Sure, what race are you running in?

Anonymous said...

My dog is running in the same race that Rap Tale is running in. So you know which race that is don't you Alan.

Anonymous said...

Battaglia, the ML odds maker, yesterday indicated his morning line after Saturday's upsets would be

Esk 2-1
LAL 4-1
Candy 8-1

Everyone else 15-1

I still believe Esk goes off closer to 3-1 than 2-1 but with no one else emerging yesterday to take some money 2-1 is no longer out of the question.

Endorsement will likely be the wise guy horse by default.

Anonymous said...

This proposed NYC OTB settlement is a complete disaster for racing and moreso breeding industry.

48% reduction for NY Breeders? Are you kidding me?

And a 1% surcharge on all wagers in the state?

To support this parasite?

Charlie and the owners/breeders need to take a stand at some point, the only way this will be solved is if we all joing togethar and boycott.

Horsemen, do not enter any horses this week. NYRA, threaten to close YOUR doors. Breeders, threaten to move your horses out of NY. Gamblers, boycott the NY product altogethar and wager through hubs that send the least money to Albany, definatley boycott NYC OTB.

The only thing these a holes in Albany understand is being backed into a corner.

DiscreetPicks said...

Pretty sad that a horse like Homeboykris gets to run in the Derby while a horse like Setsuko can't get in.

Teresa said...

Way to go, Alan. From your keyboard to the racing gods' ears. Posted before first shot is taken.

El Angelo said...

DP: What has Setsuko ever won to merit a start in the Derby? I agree he'd be more competitive than HBK, but he's never won a stakes race.

DiscreetPicks said...

Setsuko was a fast-finishing second in the Santa Anita Derby. Prior to that, he ran second in the Sham. Two straight seconds in two-turn graded stakes preps, and he can't get in.

Homeboykris wins a one-turn race as a 2yo, and that gets him in.

True that Setsuko has never won a stakes, but he's a talented and improving sort who figured to relish the Derby distance. I just think it's a shame that he can't get in, because i think he definitely deserved the chance.

Btw, Dublin has never won a two-turn race (stakes or otherwise), and he's waltzing into the race no problem. Not much difference there that i can see.

El Angelo said...

Dublin and HBK at least won graded stakes races at some point in their career. Setsuko was a decent 2nd in the Sham and was only 2nd in the SA Derby because LAL had a trip from hell.

Again, I agree he'd have a better shot than either of those horses to at least hit the board. But last year, Mine That Bird made the Derby only because of his 2yo form, and we know how that went.

DiscreetPicks said...

Pretty sure Mine That Bird's 2yo form consisted of at least one two-turn win, but I'd have to go back and check. I guess my point is that the Derby selection criteria is way flawed. in my judgement. Scoring a win in the Hopeful (just as an example), while totally nice, really doesn't mean the slightest thing when it comes to being competitive in a 1 1/4-mile race some 8 months later. And isn't that what's in the best interest of the race? A competitive field? Part of the problem, as I see it, is that entry into the race has boiled almost exclusive down to earnings - owners just want to run, period. Whether their horse actually has a snowball's chance of winning the race is often beside the point. That being the case, I think there needs to be a more stringent selection process than the one they currently have in place. Two-turn graded stakes earnings should take precedence, followed by two-turn earning period. Winning sprints (however lucrative) doesn't mean you're qualified for entry in a 1 1/4-mile race.

Anonymous said...

I disagree about sprints, I think they are still important races, and back in the day horses who started the year sprinting figured tough in the derby.

A point system makes the most sense to me, be because it seems illogical that a grade 3 win for a million is worth more under the current entry rules, than a grade 1 for 500k.

Dirty