- OK, a couple more comments on comments, and then I gotta get back to handicapping Keeneland's Wednesday card. If I disappear for long stretches over the next couple of weeks, you'll know why. (And I know...I didn't do so good on Saturday.)
Walter said...I was really making fun of Giacomo, not Tiago. I probably don't think he's quite as good as you think he is, but I think we both agree that he'd have to have some extreme luck and a slow final quarter if he's going to win at Churchill.
I think you're underestimating Tiago. Although he was a huge longshot yesterday, his win didn't come as a complete shock. His fantastic effort in the DQ maiden win was pretty well-publicized, and the colt has been highly-regarded all along. He just threw in a clunker in the Bob Lewis, for whatever reason.
jeff said...Looking at Watchmaker's Derby Watch (pdf), it appears as if the highest Beyers earned in a route this year are the 102's earned by Street Sense, Any Given Saturday, and Circular Quay. (Street Sense earned his 108 in last year's Juvenile). And I agree about none of this past weekend's races coming in faster than that. 102 seems like a pretty low number for this time of the year, doesn't it? This may be a competitive group of three-year olds...but maybe that's because none of them are really great, at least at this point. Perhaps we'll see Street Sense, Great Hunter, or both step up in the Blue Grass; if either produces a blowout with a big fig, he could very well be the Derby favorite. (Though others might dismiss a big number earned on Polytrack.)
have any of the major players put up a beyer number of at least 105 yet? to date, no one seems to have made a major statement number-wise, and i'm not sure if any of yesterday's victors did anything to change that.