Pool Two

- As you’re aware, it’s Pool 2 of the Derby and Oaks future pools, and by now you’ve likely read Steve Haskin’s horse-by-horse analysis. The Form’s Dave Liftin takes a more selective look in his subscription-only/print edition column about Beyer figure patterns in young horses:

..when 2-year-olds receive a break and return at 3, how long does it take them to meet or exceed their best early figures? Again, the sooner the better - and preferably not too much too soon, which can trigger a prolonged setback. Looking at Pool 2, those with a strongly favorable figure line based on their recent comeback races are Afleet Alex, Giacomo, Golden Shine, and Sun King. [Daily Racing Form]

I’m well on board with Giacomo at 30-1; I loved his last race, in which he had a nightmare trip and a lost shoe. I’d also throw a few bucks on Don’t Get Mad, now Ron Ellis’ only Derby hope. Lost in the Fog is 7-1, which I think is absurd, maybe 7-1 for him to start might be fair. Rockport Harbor, who had a sharp workout, his last before next weekend’s Rebel, is 9-1.