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Thursday, July 03, 2008

Here Come the Babies

- Just as I wrote that the two-year old races aren't filling at Belmont, we have two full fields of juveniles on tap for today. The fillies go in the second, and Ride With the Herd (6-1) fits the profile of debut runners that we've seen have some success the last couple of years. By the first year sire Candy Ride, who stands for a modest fee of $12,500, this filly brought a winning bid of $220,000 at Ocala in February after blazing a furlong in 10 1/5. She debuts for trainer Richard Violette, five for 25 with debuting juveniles in 2007; two of those here last spring meeting (Fed Watcher and Phantom Income - talk about prescient hunch bets), for the same ownership of Klaravich Stable and William Lawrence. Some nice morning drills too, and Candy Ride is off to a quick start at stud, already with two winners.

Baffert starts Miss Bodine (2-1) off the usual, for this barn, slate of fast workouts. She's by Vindication, 19% with debut winners (this is his second crop). She's a half to the graded winner Icecoldbeeratreds, and to the dam of Bear Now. Pletcher promises a better two-year crop than last year's, and Floating Heart (3-1) is quite well-bred; she's by Giant's Causeway, out of the Grade 1 winner Love Lock, and a half sister to stakes winner Love Locket. However, Velazquez ends up on stablemate Wildcat Wonder (Forest Wildcat).


steve in nc said...

Do you follow wkt patterns certain trainers use with firsters?

Back 15 years ago when I got DRF every day, I did and caught a few usable angles. But I don't handicap every day anymore.

Formulator is tantalizing but frustrating with this. You can see a horse's PPs, but they don't "freeze" the picture to show you how the horse looked in DRF when making the start that fits the profile. And they don't show you all the wkts so you can scroll through to see the pattern before the debut, the layoff, or the stretch-out. Solving that can't be rocket science -- maybe I'll pull Crist's chain on his blog.

steve in nc said...

Got very lucky here -- in his abbreviated appearance in the post parade before he ran off, I thought Gadda Da Vita looked really on the muscle, so I landed on him for a win bet and a little exotic fooling around. Alive in P3 & P4 singled to Dutrow's firster Shrewd. Wish me luck, or, wish me torture!

Alan Mann said...

Steve - Good luck!! But you know that one gets whatever he deserves for betting on the evil Dutrow!