- George Washington, considered to be the top miler in Europe, is headed for the Breeders Cup Classic, despite the fact that, as articulated by the UK Independent's Chirs McGrath, he shares with Galileo, Oratorio and Hawk Wing the turf genes that condemned them to obliteration in the Classic. Aiden O'Brien was to have George have a training session on a dirt track, but that was cancelled.
Seems like a no-lose gamble for Coolmore, as explained by Greg Wood in the Guardian.
Defeat for George Washington in the Classic, meanwhile, is a 1-12 chance at the latest odds, but would do no damage at all to his stud value, since no-one expects him to win. Hot favourites who get turned over in the Mile, though, do tend to stick in the memory.Those who have Gorella in a futures wager are happy about this development. But the defection of the probable Mile favorite could attract another imposing threat. The Form reports that Barclay Tagg is rethinking his decision to skip the Breeders Cup with Showing Up. Assistant Robin Smullen said: "He was very impressed with his kick. I think [Showing Up] impressed him more than he usually does."
So a run in the Classic is a free bet which could be worth many millions of dollars, since victory, unlikely though it might be, would add thousands to the fee for every cover performed by George Washington during what promises to be a long and busy career at stud.
Still, she indicated that Tagg thinks that the prudent thing to do would be skip the big day with Showing Up, and with Nobiz Like Showbiz as well. Someone commented on my post on Gorella how it's funny how different people see different things in a race. I wrote of Nobiz Like Showbiz (a horse whose bandwagon I'm admittedly not yet on) that, while I was duly impressed by his effort in the Champagne, I was more impressed by the race by Scat Daddy. I downplayed the bad start by Tagg's colt as an excuse for the loss. So when I saw that the main story in today's Form is about not the winner of the Champagne, but the second place finisher, I went back for another look.
I haven't seen the ESPN close-up of the start that Watchmaker refers to in his article, but I don't need to to know that he had a bad start; he was second to last, after all. Still, he wasn't out of contact, and again, this time watching the head-on shot, I see him move up on the inside rather comfortably and without traffic, and save a lot of ground on the turn compared to Scat Daddy. So, I'm going to stick to my original position.
And that position is not that Nobiz Like Showbiz isn't an extremely talented and promising colt (though with an annoying name) who ran a great race in a Grade 1 in just his second start. I'm just saying that I thought that Scat Daddy was the best horse in the race despite running a bit greenly in the stretch, and that he deserves more than just some credit for being good enough to capitalize on Nobiz Like Shobiz's trouble, which is how Watchmaker put it. And I believe that, should they meet in the Juvenile, Scat Daddy has just as much license to improve going two turns as Nobiz does.
- Steve Davidowitz, in the subscription-only DRF Plus, is one who has some extremely heady praise for Nobiz Like Showbiz.
Few hugely proportioned 2-year-olds are capable of demonstrating agility, much less high-class speed under the gun. In fact, Nobiz Like Shobiz's size and generous stride vaguely recalled two of the greatest horses of the 20th century: Seattle Slew and Forego.
Seattle Slew was a strongly built, very fast champion 2-year-old who developed into the 1977 Triple Crown winner. Forego also was a fast young horse, but did not reach his peak until he turned 4 in 1974.
Nobiz Like Shobiz has a long way to go to be favorably compared to either Seattle Slew or Forego, but it was remarkable that this hugely proportioned colt performed so well in the Champagne while obviously needing time to grow into his body.